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TMP Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
83.160
1 Day change
-0.72%
52 Week Range
86.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/10
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Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the stock shows bullish technical indicators, the overbought RSI suggests a potential pullback. Additionally, the lack of significant trading signals, recent financial data showing a sharp revenue decline, and the absence of recent news or catalysts make it prudent to hold off on purchasing this stock for now.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish technical indicators with MACD positively expanding and moving averages in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the RSI of 94.183 indicates the stock is overbought, suggesting a potential pullback. Current pre-market price is $85.52, near resistance level R1 ($84.772) and approaching R2 ($87.27).

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Keefe Bruyette recently raised the price target to $87 from $80 and maintained an Outperform rating. Net income and EPS have shown significant YoY growth in the latest quarter.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting limited upside in the short term. No recent news or event-driven catalysts. Hedge funds and insiders are neutral, with no significant trading trends.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped sharply by -95.79% YoY to $3,132,000. However, net income increased by 389.61% YoY to $96,248,000, and EPS rose by 389.05% YoY to $6.7. Gross margin remained unchanged at 0%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $87 from $80 and maintained an Outperform rating, indicating moderate optimism from analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to fall
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 83.760
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Current: 83.760
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
maintain
$80 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$80 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Tompkins Financial to $87 from $80 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Piper Sandler
Neutral
initiated
$74
2025-12-03
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$74
2025-12-03
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler assumed coverage of Tompkins Financial with a Neutral rating and $74 price target. Piper assumed coverage of six regional banks based in the Mid-Atlantic portion of its Northeast coverage region.
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