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THG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
179.990
1 Day change
-1.02%
52 Week Range
188.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. The stock lacks immediate positive catalysts, and insider selling trends raise concerns. While the company's financial performance is solid, the technical indicators and analyst sentiment suggest a neutral stance. It is better to wait for clearer signals or a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating a weakening upward momentum. RSI is neutral at 58.41, and moving averages are converging, suggesting no strong trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 177.164, with resistance at 181.31 and support at 173.017.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's financials for Q4 2025 showed strong growth, with revenue up 5.08% YoY and net income up 18.23% YoY. Analysts have noted positive management practices in reserving for challenging lines.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has surged by 1461.01% in the last month, which is a negative signal. Analysts have lowered price targets recently, citing industry-wide challenges. Options data shows a high put-call ratio, indicating bearish sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased to $1.67 billion (up 5.08% YoY), net income rose to $198.5 million (up 18.23% YoY), and EPS grew to 5.44 (up 18.00% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are mixed. RBC Capital and Morgan Stanley lowered price targets to $190, citing industry challenges, while Keefe Bruyette remains positive with an Outperform rating and a higher price target of $208.

Wall Street analysts forecast THG stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast THG stock price to rise
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 181.850
sliders
Low
194
Averages
200.8
High
210
Current: 181.850
sliders
Low
194
Averages
200.8
High
210
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
maintain
$200 -> $190
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$200 -> $190
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
RBC Capital lowered the firm's price target on The Hanover to $190 from $200 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm has reviewed the company's Schedule P data, and came away with a positive view of management's approach to reserving, particularly in "challenged" lines such as Commercial Auto Liability and Other Liability Occurrence, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Hanover's reserving continues to reflect uncertainty on recent accident year loss ratios, and RBC thinks the charge in Commercial Auto Liability says far more about the state of the industry's reserves than it does THG's actuarial practices, the firm added.
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Equal Weight
downgrade
$194 -> $190
2026-04-06
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Bob Huang
Price Target
$194 -> $190
2026-04-06
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Bob Huang lowered the firm's price target on The Hanover to $190 from $194 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted target s in the property and casualty insurance group as part of a Q1 earnings preview. The sector's solid underwriting will be offset by continued pricing softening, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Morgan Stanley remains "generally negative" on personal lines and says reinsurers "should maintain stability."
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