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REPL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Replimune Group Inc (REPL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.650
1 Day change
6.25%
52 Week Range
13.240
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Replimune Group Inc (REPL) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock lacks immediate positive catalysts, and its financial performance remains weak. While there is some optimism from analysts and a potential FDA approval catalyst in April, the current technical indicators and pre-market price trend do not suggest a compelling entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a slight bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 61.55, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a downward trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 7.153, with resistance at 7.665 and support at 6.641. Pre-market price is down 1.99%, showing weakness.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market. However, implied volatility is high (271.56), suggesting significant uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
11

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Piper Sandler raised the price target to $14 from $13, citing optimism around the FDA's acceptance of RP1's resubmission. Potential FDA approval in April could act as a major catalyst.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No significant insider or hedge fund activity. Pre-market price is down 1.99%, and the stock has a 60% chance of a slight decline (-0.68%) in the next day. Weak financial performance and no recent news or congress trading data.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue remained at 0 with no YoY growth. Net income improved slightly by 6.92% YoY but remains negative at -$70.93 million. EPS dropped by 2.53% YoY to -0.77, indicating continued losses.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Piper Sandler maintains an Overweight rating and raised the price target to $14, reflecting optimism about RP1's FDA approval prospects. However, the approval decision still carries risk.

Wall Street analysts forecast REPL stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast REPL stock price to rise
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 7.200
sliders
Low
3
Averages
11.43
High
18
Current: 7.200
sliders
Low
3
Averages
11.43
High
18
Piper Sandler
Overweight
maintain
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Replimune to $14 from $13 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following Q3 reporting and ahead of RP1's April 10 PDUFA date. Replimune has felt the full brunt of the impact of FDA turmoil and seemingly capricious decision-making in recent months, Piper notes. The firm understands that additional analyses addressing FDA's concern around the contribution of components in the single-arm IGNYTE trial played a key role in this apparent about-face, and finds these recently disclosed analyses compelling. While Piper acknowledges that RP1's approval decision still carries risk, it's the firm's sense that FDA wouldn't have accepted the resubmission with the intent of rejecting it a second time.
BMO Capital
Evan Seigerman
Underperform
to
Market Perform
upgrade
$2 -> $11
2025-11-03
Reason
BMO Capital
Evan Seigerman
Price Target
$2 -> $11
2025-11-03
upgrade
Underperform
to
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Evan Seigerman upgraded Replimune to Market Perform from Underperform with a price target of $11, up from $2. The firm says current share levels "reflect appropriate risk" for the company's RP1 program. Replimune seems to have better alignment with regulators on a path forward for the drug, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BMO says Replimune's "productive" Type A meeting supports potential approval.
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