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OTLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.140
1 Day change
5.41%
52 Week Range
18.840
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Oatly Group AB (OTLY) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows declining profitability, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to support a buy decision. The stock may be better suited for monitoring rather than immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and contracting, RSI is neutral at 32.315, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 9.683), but there is no clear upward momentum. The overall technical trend is bearish.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Gross margin improved by 20.65% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating some operational efficiency gains.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have lowered price targets, and there are no recent news or significant trading trends to support a bullish outlook.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 9.08% YoY to $233.78M, but net income dropped significantly to -$19.14M, and EPS fell to -$0.03. Gross margin improved to 35.53%, up 20.65% YoY, but overall profitability remains a concern.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Morgan Stanley lowered the price target to $14.50 from $16 with an Equal Weight rating. Barclays lowered the price target to $15 from $18 but maintained an Overweight rating. Analysts express concerns about company-level fundamentals and potential headwinds in 2026.

Wall Street analysts forecast OTLY stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast OTLY stock price to rise
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 9.620
sliders
Low
14
Averages
16.67
High
18
Current: 9.620
sliders
Low
14
Averages
16.67
High
18
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$16
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$16
AI Analysis
2026-02-17
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Oatly Group to $14.50 from $16 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report.
Barclays
Andrew Lazar
Overweight
downgrade
$18 -> $15
2026-01-16
Reason
Barclays
Andrew Lazar
Price Target
$18 -> $15
2026-01-16
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Barclays analyst Andrew Lazar lowered the firm's price target on Oatly Group to $15 from $18 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the consumer staples group as part of a Q4 earnings preview. Barclays attributes the recent "enthusiasm" in the stock to "a flight to safety" and remains concerned about company- and sector-level fundamentals. Potential oil and currency headwinds could materialize in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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