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ORLY Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
92.110
1 Day change
2.22%
52 Week Range
108.720
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company has strong financial growth, consistent revenue and net income increases, and a history of stock buybacks that indicate shareholder value focus. While the technical indicators are mixed, the company's long-term fundamentals and growth trajectory make it a solid investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, suggesting bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 64.955, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 92.708), with a pivot at 90.013, indicating limited short-term upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 150.33% increase in buying over the last quarter.

  • O'Reilly Automotive has reported 33 consecutive years of same-store sales growth, with a 4.7% increase in

  • Revenue and net income have grown at compound annual rates of 8.3% and 10.8%, respectively, over the past five years.

  • The company has spent $7.4 billion on stock buybacks in the last three years, representing about 10% of its current market cap.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have recently lowered price targets due to concerns about elevated costs, including medical and casualty self-insurance.

  • The stock's P/E ratio of 29.5, while lower than last year's peak, may still appear high to some investors.

  • Insiders are neutral, with no significant trading trends observed in the last month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, O'Reilly Automotive reported strong financial results: Revenue increased by 7.78% YoY to $4.41 billion, Net Income rose by 9.82% YoY to $605.23 million, EPS grew by 12.7% YoY to $0.71, and Gross Margin improved to 51.79%, up 0.96% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook on ORLY, with multiple Buy and Overweight ratings. However, price targets have been lowered slightly, reflecting concerns about cost pressures. The average price target remains above the current price, indicating potential upside.

Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 90.110
sliders
Low
91
Averages
110.75
High
125
Current: 90.110
sliders
Low
91
Averages
110.75
High
125
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
$110 -> $108
AI Analysis
2026-02-09
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$110 -> $108
AI Analysis
2026-02-09
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on O'Reilly Automotive to $108 from $110 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is lowering its FY26 and FY27 EPS estimates by about 4% and 3.5%, respectively, to reflect ongoing medical and casualty self insurance cost pressure.
Citi
Buy
downgrade
$114 -> $110
2026-02-09
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$114 -> $110
2026-02-09
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Citi lowered the firm's price target on O'Reilly Automotive to $110 from $114 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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