MTCH Should I Buy
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Match Group Inc (MTCH) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the company has shown positive financial growth in Q4 2025, the lack of clear upward momentum in technical indicators, neutral analyst sentiment, and significant hedge fund selling suggest that waiting for a more favorable entry point would be prudent. Additionally, the options data reflects bearish sentiment, and there are no recent news catalysts or congressional trading activity to support a strong buy decision.
The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 35.202, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 29.353), with resistance at R1: 32.859. Overall, technical indicators suggest a lack of strong upward momentum.
The company reported strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 2.07% YoY, net income up 32.44% YoY, EPS up 40.68% YoY, and gross margin up 5.72% YoY. Analysts noted some positive developments in Tinder's turnaround and better-than-expected Q4 results.
Hedge funds are heavily selling the stock, with a 2535.85% increase in selling activity last quarter. Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, citing unclear timing and magnitude of Tinder's turnaround. Options data reflects bearish sentiment, and there are no recent news catalysts or congressional trading data to support a buy.
In Q4 2025, Match Group reported revenue of $878 million (+2.07% YoY), net income of $209.6 million (+32.44% YoY), EPS of $0.83 (+40.68% YoY), and a gross margin of 72.25% (+5.72% YoY). These figures indicate solid financial growth and operational efficiency.
Analysts have lowered price targets recently, with most maintaining neutral or hold ratings. JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Truist all reduced price targets, citing uncertainty around Tinder's turnaround and the limited impact of Project Aurora. TD Cowen remains bullish with a Buy rating but also lowered its price target.
