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MESO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Mesoblast Ltd (MESO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
15.070
1 Day change
-3.58%
52 Week Range
21.500
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Mesoblast Ltd (MESO) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown impressive revenue growth driven by the launch of Ryoncil®, the technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment in the short term. Additionally, the lack of recent trading signals and the absence of significant positive catalysts make it prudent to hold off on immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.16) and contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 47.727, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support and resistance levels are at S1: 14.085 and R1: 16.988, with the stock currently trading near the pivot point of 15.536.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the implied volatility (109.55) and IV rank (25.72) suggest that the stock is moderately volatile with limited upside in the short term.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • The company reported a 1503.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $51.3 million for H1 FY2026, driven by the successful launch of Ryoncil®, which generated significant gross sales and profit.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The stock has a 90% chance of declining by -4.1% in the next day and -1.89% in the next week based on candlestick pattern analysis. Additionally, the GAAP EPS of -$3.11 missed expectations, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges.

Financial Performance

Mesoblast reported a 1503.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $51.3 million for H1 FY2026. This growth was driven by the successful launch of Ryoncil®. However, the company posted a GAAP EPS of -$3.11, missing expectations, which raises concerns about profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent updates on analyst ratings or price target changes. Wall Street sentiment appears neutral with no significant pros or cons highlighted.

Wall Street analysts forecast MESO stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MESO stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 15.630
sliders
Low
35
Averages
35
High
35
Current: 15.630
sliders
Low
35
Averages
35
High
35
Jefferies
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$3
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2025-11-25
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Jefferies upgraded Mesoblast to Buy from Hold with a price target of A$3.30, up from A$3.
Jefferies
David Stanton
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$3
2025-11-25
Reason
Jefferies
David Stanton
Price Target
$3
2025-11-25
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, Jefferies analyst David Stanton upgraded Mesoblast to Buy from Hold with a price target of A$3.30, up from A$3. Ryoncil continues to be rolled out and the firm forecasts 78 patients will complete therapy in FY26, up from 63, while updating its estimates for fiscal Q2 results and FY26 forecasts.
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