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KMX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Carmax Inc (KMX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
44.130
1 Day change
4.72%
52 Week Range
82.790
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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CarMax Inc (KMX) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon at this time. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows significant declines in revenue and net income, and while there are some positive developments like the launch of AI-powered apps, the overall sentiment and recent analyst ratings suggest caution. The stock may not align with the user's goal of long-term growth.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.227) and contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 40.931, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 40.122, and resistance is at 44.9. The stock is trading below its pivot level of 42.511, suggesting downward pressure.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • CarMax has launched AI-powered vehicle shopping and ChatGPT apps, which could improve customer experience and market competitiveness. Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity (+179.34% last quarter).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have mixed ratings, with several lowering price targets due to margin pressures and competitive challenges. The unexpected CEO departure in November 2025 raised concerns about corporate governance.

Financial Performance

In Q3 FY2026, revenue dropped to $5.79 billion (-6.9% YoY), net income fell to $62.2 million (-50.4% YoY), EPS declined to $0.43 (-46.91% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 8.99% (-8.73% YoY). These figures indicate significant financial struggles.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are mixed. Baird raised the price target to $48 and maintained an Outperform rating, while Evercore ISI raised the target to $42 but kept an In Line rating. Barclays and JPMorgan remain bearish with Underweight ratings and price targets of $28 and $24, respectively, citing margin pressures and competitive challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KMX stock price to fall
0 Buy
10 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 42.140
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Current: 42.140
sliders
Low
24
Averages
33.6
High
37
Baird
Craig Kennison
Outperform
maintain
$44 -> $48
AI Analysis
2026-02-18
Reason
Baird
Craig Kennison
Price Target
$44 -> $48
AI Analysis
2026-02-18
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Craig Kennison raised the firm's price target on CarMax to $48 from $44 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following the company's investor meeting.
Evercore ISI
In Line
maintain
$40 -> $42
2026-02-10
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$40 -> $42
2026-02-10
maintain
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on CarMax to $42 from $40 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares.
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