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KALU Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
131.010
1 Day change
8.71%
52 Week Range
150.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown positive financial performance in Q4 2025, the lack of strong technical indicators, insider selling trends, and no significant positive catalysts suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 45.268, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 115.112, with resistance at 122.58 and support at 107.644.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • The company reported strong financial growth in Q4 2025, with revenue up 21.37% YoY, net income up 8.46% YoY, and EPS up 4.40% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 258.87% over the last month. No recent news or significant positive catalysts. The stock has a 40% chance of declining by -3.53% in the next day.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Kaiser Aluminum's revenue increased to $929 million (up 21.37% YoY), net income rose to $28.2 million (up 8.46% YoY), and EPS grew to 1.66 (up 4.40% YoY). Gross margin improved to 9.96% (up 2.47% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan raised the price target from $105 to $118 on February 12, 2026, and further to $124 on February 23, 2026, maintaining a Neutral rating. Analysts are cautiously optimistic but not strongly bullish.

Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 120.510
sliders
Low
105
Averages
106.5
High
108
Current: 120.510
sliders
Low
105
Averages
106.5
High
108
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Neutral
maintain
$118 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
Reason
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Price Target
$118 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson raised the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $124 from $118 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report.
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Neutral
maintain
$105 -> $118
2026-02-12
Reason
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Price Target
$105 -> $118
2026-02-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson raised the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $118 from $105 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a Q4 preview. The firm cites ramping growth for the target boost.
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