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KALU Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
127.550
1 Day change
1.97%
52 Week Range
150.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown growth in revenue, net income, and EPS in its latest quarter, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish trend. Additionally, insider selling has increased significantly, and there are no recent positive news catalysts or strong trading signals. The options data indicates bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio. Given the lack of strong buy signals and the investor's preference for long-term stability, holding off on buying KALU is recommended for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 33.291, which is neutral but leaning toward oversold territory. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading below the pivot level of 127.936, with support at 120.399 and resistance at 135.472.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed growth in revenue (up 21.37% YoY), net income (up 8.46% YoY), and EPS (up 4.40% YoY). Gross margin also improved by 2.47%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 258.87% over the last month, indicating potential lack of confidence from insiders. No recent news or event-driven catalysts. Options data shows bearish sentiment with a high put-call volume ratio (3.13). Technical indicators are neutral to bearish.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased to $929M (up 21.37% YoY), net income rose to $28.2M (up 8.46% YoY), EPS increased to $1.66 (up 4.40% YoY), and gross margin improved to 9.96% (up 2.47% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan raised the price target twice in February 2026, from $105 to $118 and then to $124, maintaining a Neutral rating. This suggests moderate confidence in the stock's performance but no strong buy recommendation.

Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 125.090
sliders
Low
105
Averages
106.5
High
108
Current: 125.090
sliders
Low
105
Averages
106.5
High
108
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Neutral
maintain
$118 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
Reason
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Price Target
$118 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-02-23
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson raised the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $124 from $118 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report.
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Neutral
maintain
$105 -> $118
2026-02-12
Reason
JPMorgan
Bill Peterson
Price Target
$105 -> $118
2026-02-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson raised the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $118 from $105 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a Q4 preview. The firm cites ramping growth for the target boost.
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