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HMC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
24.940
1 Day change
-1.66%
52 Week Range
34.890
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. The technical indicators are mixed, with bearish moving averages and neutral RSI, while the company's financial performance has significantly deteriorated in the latest quarter. Additionally, the lack of positive catalysts and recent analyst downgrade further weigh against the stock. Holding off on investing in HMC until better signals or improvements in fundamentals emerge would be a prudent decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.22), indicating slight bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 53.429, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key resistance levels are at 24.569 and 24.907, while support levels are at 23.472 and 23.134. Overall, the technical outlook is mixed with a bearish bias.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The Open Interest Put-Call Ratio of 0.95 suggests a balanced sentiment, while the Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 1.04 indicates slightly higher put volume, reflecting cautious sentiment. Implied volatility is at 33.01, with an IV percentile of 76, suggesting options are relatively expensive.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. No recent news or significant positive developments.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analyst downgrade by Morgan Stanley, citing industry headwinds and rising raw material costs.

  • Poor financial performance in Q3 2026, with revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin all showing significant YoY declines.

  • Stock trend analysis predicts a potential decline of -2.14% in the next week and -8.49% in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue dropped by -4.45% YoY to $34.69 billion. Net income plummeted by -51.08% YoY to $997.21 million. EPS fell by -43.18% YoY to 0.25, and gross margin declined by -5.06% YoY to 20.25. Overall, the financial performance indicates significant deterioration.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Morgan Stanley downgraded Honda to Equal Weight from Overweight, with a reduced price target of 1,600 yen (previously 2,000 yen). The downgrade reflects concerns over rising raw material costs and geopolitical risks, with the analyst suggesting that re-evaluation of Honda's automobile business will take time.

Wall Street analysts forecast HMC stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast HMC stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 25.360
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
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Current: 25.360
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Averages
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High
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Morgan Stanley
Hiroto Segawa
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Hiroto Segawa
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-11
downgrade
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Hiroto Segawa downgraded Honda to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of 1,600 yen, down from 2,000 yen. The firm recommends "selective stock-picking" in Japan's auto and mobility group, saying industry headwinds are picking up amid rising raw material costs and emerging geopolitical risk. For Honda, the analyst we thinks the re-evaluation of its automobile business will take time. Suzuki remains Morgan Stanley's Top Pick.
Macquarie
James Hong
Outperform -> Neutral
downgrade
¥1,400
2025-06-24
Reason
Macquarie
James Hong
Price Target
¥1,400
2025-06-24
downgrade
Outperform -> Neutral
Reason
Macquarie analyst James Hong downgraded Honda to Neutral from Outperform with a 1,400 yen price target.
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