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HCA Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
537.280
1 Day change
-0.07%
52 Week Range
552.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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HCA Healthcare is a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock demonstrates strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment with increasing price targets, and favorable long-term growth prospects driven by AI-driven efficiency gains. Despite some insider selling, the overall outlook remains positive for long-term investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, suggesting bearish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an overall upward trend. The stock is trading near its pivot point of 534.645, with resistance at 544.34 and support at 524.95.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a bullish sentiment with a relatively low put-call ratio for both open interest and volume, suggesting more interest in calls than puts.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 6.72% YoY, net income up 30.60% YoY, and EPS up 44.58% YoY.

  • Positive analyst sentiment with multiple price target increases, including UBS raising the target to $635 and Mizuho to $

  • AI-driven efficiency gains and industry-leading margins are expected to drive long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased significantly (1487.91% over the last month), which could indicate caution from insiders.

  • The MACD is negative, suggesting potential short-term bearish momentum.

  • No recent news or event-driven catalysts to provide additional momentum.

Financial Performance

HCA Healthcare reported strong Q4 2025 financials: Revenue increased by 6.72% YoY to $19.51B, net income surged by 30.60% YoY to $1.88B, and EPS grew by 44.58% YoY to $8.14. Gross margin remained stable at 80.07%, reflecting solid operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly positive on HCA Healthcare, with multiple price target increases over the past month. UBS raised its target to $635, Mizuho to $585, and Cantor Fitzgerald to $588, citing strong fundamentals, AI-driven efficiency gains, and industry-leading margins. However, some analysts, like Bernstein, remain cautious due to high valuations and potential headwinds to EBITDA growth.

Wall Street analysts forecast HCA stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HCA stock price to fall
13 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 537.640
sliders
Low
420
Averages
491.89
High
525
Current: 537.640
sliders
Low
420
Averages
491.89
High
525
RBC Capital
Outperform
maintain
$593
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$593
AI Analysis
2026-03-10
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital points out that HCA management noted at an industry conference Tuesday that CMS approved Georgia's new $1.9B Medicaid SDP program Monday evening, calling that news "encouraging." Using state bed counts, the firm estimates the approval will provide a roughly $83M EBITDA boost for HCA, adds the analyst, who has an Outperform rating and $593 price target on HCA shares.
TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$529 -> $561
2026-03-10
New
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$529 -> $561
2026-03-10
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on HCA Healthcare to $561 from $529 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following its appearance at the TD Healthcare conference which increased their confidence in the company's ability to execute on its 2026 guidance.
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