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CBSH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
50.590
1 Day change
-1.58%
52 Week Range
63.190
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock lacks significant positive catalysts, and the technical indicators, options data, and analyst ratings do not suggest a compelling entry point. While the financial performance shows moderate growth, the lack of recent positive news or influential trading activity further supports a hold recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 55.165, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level (50.227), with resistance at 51.259 and support at 49.196. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral stance.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Moderate financial growth in Q4 2025, with revenue up 5.17% YoY, net income up 3.33% YoY, and EPS up 5.21% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analyst ratings have been consistently neutral or market perform, with multiple firms lowering price targets. No significant news, hedge fund, insider, or congress trading activity. Stock trend analysis indicates a potential -9.26% decline in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Commerce Bancshares reported revenue growth of 5.17% YoY, net income growth of 3.33% YoY, and EPS growth of 5.21% YoY. While these figures indicate moderate growth, they are not significant enough to act as a strong catalyst for the stock.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are neutral, with multiple firms lowering price targets. Keefe Bruyette reduced the target to $54, BofA to $69, and Morgan Stanley to $61, citing increased EPS uncertainty, rising cost of equity, and higher risk in the environment.

Wall Street analysts forecast CBSH stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CBSH stock price to rise
0 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 51.400
sliders
Low
55
Averages
61.83
High
71
Current: 51.400
sliders
Low
55
Averages
61.83
High
71
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
to
Hold
downgrade
$56 -> $54
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$56 -> $54
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
downgrade
Market Perform
to
Hold
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Commerce Bancshares to $54 from $56 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
BofA
Neutral
downgrade
$71 -> $69
2026-04-07
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$71 -> $69
2026-04-07
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Commerce Bancshares to $69 from $71 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm reduced price targets among its regional banks by 3% on average to reflect lower multiples on increased EPS uncertainty and a rising cost of equity.
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