AAL Earnings

AAL reported its earnings on 2026-01-27, showcasing a revenue of 14.00B against an estimate of 14.12B, resulting in a -0.86% surprise. The EPS was 0.16, surpassing the expected 0.38 by -57.89%. The stock experienced a -7% price change on the earnings day and a -8.72% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AAL's earnings announcement on 2026-01-27, the stock price moved by -7% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.72% change. Historically, AAL's stock price tends to shift by an average of 3.69% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 3.1% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate AAL's annual revenue to reach 13.34B, while the EPS is projected at -0.30. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between AAL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AAL's stock price typically moves by 3.69% in the 10 days before its earnings and 3.1% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.30 and revenue of 13.34B.

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record passenger traffic, significant revenue growth, and improved liquidity and net debt. Despite geopolitical risks affecting Armenia, overall traffic and margins are stable. Management's cautious but optimistic guidance on growth and capital allocation, alongside strategic expansions, suggests a positive outlook. The Q&A highlights uncertainties but does not significantly detract from the positive sentiment. The absence of a market cap limits precise prediction, but overall indicators suggest a positive stock movement within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.