YMM Should I Buy
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Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown strong financial growth in the latest quarter, the technical indicators are bearish, and the stock is trading near its 52-week low. Additionally, the recent downgrade by an analyst and the lack of significant positive trading signals suggest caution. Holding the stock or waiting for a clearer entry point is recommended.
The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral at 27.516, and moving averages show a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its key support level (S2: 7.891), with no strong upward momentum.
Serenity Capital Management recently acquired a significant stake in the company, representing 5.15% of its reportable assets under management.
The company continues to leverage its extensive customer base and value-added services in the Chinese logistics sector.
Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with significant growth in net income (up 76.89% YoY) and EPS (up 66.67% YoY).
The stock has declined about 40% over the past six months, trading near a 52-week low.
Broader market pressures on Chinese tech stocks.
Analyst downgrade by Daiwa to Hold from Buy with a $9 price target.
Bearish technical indicators and lack of clear upward momentum.
In Q4 2025, the company showed strong financial growth: Revenue increased by 0.58% YoY to 3.19 billion, net income rose by 76.89% YoY to 987.83 million, EPS increased by 66.67% YoY to 0.05, and gross margin improved by 18.02% YoY to 66.28%.
Daiwa analyst John Choi downgraded the stock to Hold from Buy with a $9 price target on March 13, 2026. This indicates a cautious outlook from analysts.
