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YMM Earnings

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    Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd(YMM) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: CNY
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-17Pre-Market0.130.12-7.693.12B3.36B+7.69-11.93-17.13
FY2025Q22025-08-21Pre-Market0.150.17+13.333.09B3.24B+4.84+9.81+17.53
FY2025Q12025-05-21Pre-Market0.160.17+6.252.66B2.70B+1.58-1.49-2.56
FY2024Q42025-03-05Pre-Market0.130.13-3.00B3.17B+5.78+13.62+7.80
FY2024Q32024-11-20Pre-Market0.140.15+7.142.77B3.03B+9.46+14.82+16.10
FY2024Q22024-08-21Pre-Market0.110.13+18.182.70B2.76B+2.41+2.57-0.14
FY2024Q12024-05-21-0.080.09+12.502.14B2.27B+5.81-1.81-4.46
FY2023Q42024-03-07-0.080.08-2.30B2.41B+4.56-5.30+21.65
FY2023Q32023-11-20-0.080.09+12.502.18B2.26B+4.09+15.41+6.13
FY2023Q22023-08-23-0.060.08+33.332.00B2.06B+3.18+11.38+14.10
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YMM Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-17. The company achieved an EPS of 0.12, compared to analyst estimates of 0.13 by -7.69% . Revenue for the quarter reached 3.36B compared to expectations of 3.12B by 7.69% .
The stock price reacted with a -11.93% one-day change and a -17.13% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

YMM Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd(YMM) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 3.12B and an EPS of 0.99.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.06%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.12%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 11.23% . These revisions correlate with a -14.94% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between YMM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.06%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.12%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+11.23%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-14.94%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:11.82B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.62
—
Stock Price11.27
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YMM Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-17,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.12 (Actual) vs.0.13 (Estimate) (-7.69%)
Revenue: 3.36B (Actual) vs. 3.12B (Estimate) (7.69%)
Price Reaction: -11.93%(1-Day), -17.13%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-21,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.17 (Actual) vs.0.15 (Estimate) (13.33%)
Revenue: 3.24B (Actual) vs. 3.09B (Estimate) (4.84%)
Price Reaction: 9.81%(1-Day), 17.53%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-21,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.17 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (6.25%)
Revenue: 2.70B (Actual) vs. 2.66B (Estimate) (1.58%)
Price Reaction: -1.49%(1-Day), -2.56%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how YMM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, YMM sees a -1.92% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +4.71%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.92% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 4.15% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-17
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record high revenues, significant growth in transaction service revenues, and a positive outlook for future orders. The Q&A session highlights effective user acquisition strategies and positive trends in user engagement and retention. Despite a decrease in net income, the overall financial health appears stable with strategic growth initiatives and digital transformation plans. The positive sentiment from analysts and management's clear communication further support a positive stock price movement prediction.
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-21
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with significant increases in net income and operating income. The Q&A section confirms effective strategies in user acquisition and operational efficiency, with no unclear responses from management. Despite increased marketing expenses, cost management remains effective. The new investment and strategic focus on autonomous technology are promising. Overall, the earnings call and Q&A suggest a positive market reaction, supported by strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance.
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-22
The company demonstrated strong financial performance with significant year-over-year growth in net income, revenues, and operating income. The strategic focus on user growth and monetization is showing results, and there is optimism around technological investments. Despite potential risks related to economic conditions, regulatory issues, and competitive pressures, the company's current financial health and optimistic outlook on revenue growth are promising. The Q&A session reinforced positive sentiments with no significant concerns raised, suggesting a likely positive stock price reaction in the short term.
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-21
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth, alongside improved operational efficiency. The Q&A section confirms positive sentiment with no significant concerns over tariffs and high fulfillment rates. The strategic focus on AI and autonomous driving, alongside a robust dividend policy and share repurchase program, signals confidence in future growth. Despite minor risks in technological investment, the overall outlook is optimistic. With no market cap provided, the positive sentiment is expected to lead to a moderate stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-06
The company reported strong financial performance with a 32% increase in net revenues and a 70% rise in transaction service revenues. Despite some risks like regulatory issues and supply chain challenges, the optimistic revenue outlook and strategic initiatives, including a share repurchase program and dividend policy, are likely to positively influence the stock price. The Q&A session highlighted robust growth drivers and effective strategies, further supporting a positive sentiment.
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-05
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth, enhanced operational efficiency, and a strategic focus on user acquisition and product innovation. The introduction of a cash dividend policy and an extended share repurchase program are positive for shareholder returns. Despite some regulatory and competitive risks, the company's optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price reaction. The Q&A section supports this with insights into growth drivers and operational improvements, although management's evasiveness on certain forecasts is a minor concern.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-22
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with significant revenue and income growth. The Q&A section highlights growth drivers like user acquisition and improved operational strategies. Despite some risks like regulatory challenges and increased expenses, the share repurchase program and optimistic guidance for Q4 suggest a positive outlook. The company's strategic initiatives and robust financial metrics support a positive sentiment, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-21
The company demonstrated strong financial performance with significant revenue and net income growth, despite facing macroeconomic challenges and extreme weather conditions. The Q&A section revealed positive sentiment from analysts, with management providing clear responses on growth drivers and strategies. The share repurchase program and optimistic guidance for order volume growth further support a positive outlook. However, some concerns remain regarding regulatory risks and competitive pressures, which temper the sentiment slightly from strong positive to positive.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of YMM’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

YMM reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-17, showcasing a revenue of 3.36B against an estimate of 3.12B, resulting in a 7.69% surprise. The EPS was 0.12, surpassing the expected 0.13 by -7.69% . The stock experienced a -11.93% price change on the earnings day and a -17.13% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did YMM’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following YMM’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-17, the stock price moved by -11.93% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -17.13% change. Historically, YMM’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.92% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.03% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for YMM for 2025/Q3?

For 2025/Q3, analysts estimate YMM’s annual revenue to reach 3.12B, while the EPS is projected at 0.99. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.06% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 11.23% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does YMM’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between YMM’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.06%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 11.23% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from YMM’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, YMM’s stock price typically moves by -1.92% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.03% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q3 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.99 and revenue of 3.12B.
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What is the sentiment in Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd (YMM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record high revenues, significant growth in transaction service revenues, and a positive outlook for future orders. The Q&A session highlights effective user acquisition strategies and positive trends in user engagement and retention. Despite a decrease in net income, the overall financial health appears stable with strategic growth initiatives and digital transformation plans. The positive sentiment from analysts and management's clear communication further support a positive stock price movement prediction.
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