XPO Valuation

XPO Inc

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131.360

+0.42(0.321%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

XPO Relative Valuation

XPO's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, XPO is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

XPO Inc (XPO) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 31.61 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 23.22. The fair price of XPO Inc (XPO) is between 72.46 to 128.27 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 131.36 USD , XPO Inc is Overvalued By 2.41%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

72.46-128.27

Current Price：131.36

2.41%

Overvalued

31.61

Trailing

Forward

14.52

EV/EBITDA

XPO Inc. (XPO) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.52. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 11.43. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.48, Undervalued between 5.48 and 8.45, Fairly Valued between 14.40 and 8.45, Overvalued between 14.40 and 17.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.38. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.52 falls within the Overvalued range.

23.03

EV/EBIT

XPO Inc. (XPO) has a current EV/EBIT of 23.03. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 18.84. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.87, Undervalued between 8.87 and 13.86, Fairly Valued between 23.83 and 13.86, Overvalued between 23.83 and 28.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.81. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 23.03 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.87

XPO Inc. (XPO) has a current PS of 1.87. The 5-year average PS is 1.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.05, Undervalued between 0.05 and 0.55, Fairly Valued between 1.57 and 0.55, Overvalued between 1.57 and 2.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.08. The current Forward PS of 1.87 falls within the Overvalued range.

14.60

P/OCF

XPO Inc. (XPO) has a current P/OCF of 14.60. The 5-year average P/OCF is 11.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.60, Undervalued between 4.60 and 7.82, Fairly Valued between 14.26 and 7.82, Overvalued between 14.26 and 17.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.49. The current Forward P/OCF of 14.60 falls within the Overvalued range.

35.40

P/FCF

XPO Inc. (XPO) has a current P/FCF of 35.40. The 5-year average P/FCF is 11.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -81.32, Undervalued between -81.32 and -35.00, Fairly Valued between 57.64 and -35.00, Overvalued between 57.64 and 103.97, and Strongly Overvalued above 103.97. The current Forward P/FCF of 35.40 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

XPO Inc (XPO) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.68. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 7.50 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 15.77% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 6.55, the current P/B ratio is about 32.62% higher. XPO Inc (XPO) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.76%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 1.86% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

8.68

P/B

Median3y

7.50

Median5y

6.55

1.00

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.76

Median5y

1.86

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for XPO's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. XPO Inc Corp (XPO) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 0.05%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

J B Hunt Transport Services Inc

TFI International Inc

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of XPO increased by 22.18% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 30.01 to 45.46.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 0.05%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of XPO in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

0.05%

2.08B → 2.08B

Revenue Growth

-29.36%

7.22 → 5.10

Margin Expansion

51.49%

30.01 → 45.46

P/E Change

22.18%