XPO Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how XPO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, XPO sees a -8.97% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +6.67%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
XPO Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
1.92B
-0.93%
-6.38%
Gross Margin
53.23%
2.86%
-0.47%
Operating Margin
7.18%
-4.65%
-23.21%
Net Margin
3.90%
30.43%
-15.77%
EPS
0.62
26.53%
-21.52%
No Data Available
XPO Earnings Analysis
XPO Inc Corporation (XPO.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Record Revenue and EBITDA Growth: For the full year, revenue grew by 4% to a record $8.1 billion, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 27% to $1.3 billion, reflecting significant operating leverage.
Earnings Growth Surge: Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 31% year-over-year to $3.83, demonstrating strong earnings growth.
Operating Ratio Improvement: The adjusted operating ratio improved by 260 basis points, supported by record customer service levels and profitable market share gains.
Yield Growth Analysis: Yield excluding fuel grew by 7.8% year-over-year, contributing to the adjusted operating ratio improvement and indicating strong pricing power.
European Revenue Performance: In the European segment, revenue increased by 3%, outperforming the industry, with double-digit organic revenue growth in the UK.
Negative
Q4 Revenue Decline: Total revenue for Q4 was $1,900,000,000, which is 1% lower than the prior year, indicating a decline in overall sales performance.
LTL Revenue Decline: In the LTL segment, revenue decreased by 3% year over year, primarily due to a 23% decline in fuel surcharge revenue tied to diesel prices.
Operational Volume Decline: Shipments per day were down 4.4%, and tonnage per day declined by 5.7%, reflecting a decrease in operational volume and efficiency.
Operational Efficiency Decline: The adjusted operating ratio increased by 200 basis points sequentially, indicating a deterioration in operational efficiency compared to the previous quarter.
EBITDA Loss Challenges Profitability: Corporate adjusted EBITDA reported a loss of $4,000,000 for the quarter, highlighting challenges in overall profitability despite gains in other segments.
XPO FAQs
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XPO Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: XPO Q4 2024 reveals strong EPS, stock surges
XPO.N
-1.5%Positive
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 31% increase in adjusted EPS. Despite a decline in LTL segment revenue, excluding fuel, there was an increase. The Q&A provided optimistic guidance on yield growth and margin improvement. The management's focus on shareholder returns and capital allocation strategy suggests potential buybacks. Concerns were minimal, with some avoidance in responses. Overall, the financial health and strategic focus indicate a positive outlook for the stock price in the near term.
