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XPO Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of XPO Inc(XPO) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of XPO Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-30Pre-Market1.011.07+5.942.07B2.11B+1.82+8.99+12.75
FY2025Q22025-07-31Pre-Market0.991.05+6.062.05B2.08B+1.58-9.07-8.97
FY2025Q12025-04-30Pre-Market0.650.73+12.311.98B1.95B-1.12+8.92+12.17
FY2024Q42025-02-06Pre-Market0.620.89+43.551.92B1.92B+0.23+7.78+6.24
FY2024Q32024-10-30Pre-Market0.891.02+14.612.02B2.05B+1.77+11.43+14.93
FY2024Q22024-08-01-1.011.12+10.892.07B2.08B+0.26+0.78-4.60
FY2024Q12024-05-03-0.680.81+19.122.00B2.02B+0.67+3.34+3.75
FY2023Q42024-02-07-0.610.77+26.231.92B1.94B+1.22+18.86+18.51
FY2023Q32023-10-30-0.630.88+39.681.93B1.98B+2.62+15.08+18.12
FY2023Q22023-08-04-0.610.71+16.391.94B1.92B-0.95+4.16+6.98
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XPO Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, XPO Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 1.07, compared to analyst estimates of 1.01 by 5.94% . Revenue for the quarter reached 2.11B compared to expectations of 2.07B by 1.82% .
The stock price reacted with a 8.99% one-day change and a 12.75% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in XPO Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

XPO Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, XPO Inc(XPO) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.97B and an EPS of 0.84.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.55%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.31%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.28% . These revisions correlate with a 7.59% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in XPO Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between XPO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.55%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.31%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.28%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+7.59%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:8.12B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.69
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Stock Price140.85
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Financial AI Agent

XPO Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

XPO Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.07 (Actual) vs.1.01 (Estimate) (5.94%)
Revenue: 2.11B (Actual) vs. 2.07B (Estimate) (1.82%)
Price Reaction: 8.99%(1-Day), 12.75%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.05 (Actual) vs.0.99 (Estimate) (6.06%)
Revenue: 2.08B (Actual) vs. 2.05B (Estimate) (1.58%)
Price Reaction: -9.07%(1-Day), -8.97%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.73 (Actual) vs.0.65 (Estimate) (12.31%)
Revenue: 1.95B (Actual) vs. 1.98B (Estimate) (-1.12%)
Price Reaction: 8.92%(1-Day), 12.17%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how XPO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, XPO sees a -6.36% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.87% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +7.03%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 5.81% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.37% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

XPO Inc (XPO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-30
XPO's earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong pricing, operational efficiency, and market positioning. AI integration and premium services are driving productivity and yield growth. The Q&A highlights confidence in sustaining pricing strength and capturing market share, despite some management vagueness on specifics. Shareholder returns are set to increase with higher free cash flow, and the company is well-positioned for a market recovery. Although some uncertainties exist, the overall sentiment is positive, indicating a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% in the short term.
XPO Inc (XPO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call highlights several positive aspects: improved operating ratios, a successful share repurchase program, and a focus on margin expansion. The Q&A session indicates strong future potential, with significant margin expansion expected and positive developments in Europe. However, some caution is warranted due to weak tonnage trends and management's vague responses on specific financial impacts. Despite these concerns, the overall sentiment is positive, with strong pricing strategies and AI-driven efficiencies likely to support stock price growth in the near term.
XPO Inc (XPO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals several concerns: declining revenue and EBITDA due to lower fuel surcharge revenue, supply chain challenges, and economic factors. Despite some operational efficiencies, the outlook for freight demand is negative. The Q&A highlights management's uncertainty in volume predictions, further impacting sentiment. The share repurchase plan is a positive aspect, but overall, the financial performance and guidance suggest a negative sentiment, likely leading to a -2% to -8% stock price movement.
XPO Inc (XPO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is a record revenue growth and improved operating income, the decline in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, coupled with negative tonnage and unclear management responses about tariffs, suggests caution. The share repurchase plan and improved operating ratio are positives, but weak guidance and volume declines temper enthusiasm. The positive impact of strong pricing and cost efficiency is offset by risks of inflation and investment execution. Overall, the sentiment is neutral with potential for slight positive movement if execution risks are managed.
XPO Inc (XPO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-06
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 27% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 31% increase in adjusted EPS. Despite a decline in LTL segment revenue, excluding fuel, there was an increase. The Q&A provided optimistic guidance on yield growth and margin improvement. The management's focus on shareholder returns and capital allocation strategy suggests potential buybacks. Concerns were minimal, with some avoidance in responses. Overall, the financial health and strategic focus indicate a positive outlook for the stock price in the near term.
XPO, Inc. (XPO) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-30
The earnings call shows mixed signals. Financial performance is solid with revenue and EBITDA growth, but the freight market is soft, and there's uncertainty about market recovery. The Q&A reveals optimism in pricing and service improvements, but also highlights risks like tonnage decline and external impacts. No share repurchase program was mentioned, and the lack of specific guidance adds to uncertainty. Thus, despite positive financial metrics, the overall sentiment remains neutral, suggesting limited stock price movement.
XPO, Inc. (XPO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-02
The earnings call reveals robust financial performance with strong revenue, EBITDA, and EPS growth. Despite labor cost pressures, cost efficiencies and margin improvements are evident. The Q&A highlights positive sentiment with expectations for yield and margin improvements, and favorable pricing trends. However, economic uncertainties and lack of share repurchase plans slightly temper the outlook. Overall, the strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of XPO’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

XPO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 2.11B against an estimate of 2.07B, resulting in a 1.82% surprise. The EPS was 1.07, surpassing the expected 1.01 by 5.94% . The stock experienced a 8.99% price change on the earnings day and a 12.75% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did XPO’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following XPO’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by 8.99% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 12.75% change. Historically, XPO’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -6.36% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.87% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for XPO for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate XPO’s annual revenue to reach 1.97B, while the EPS is projected at 0.84. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.55% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.28% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does XPO’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between XPO’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.55%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.28% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from XPO’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, XPO’s stock price typically moves by -6.36% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.87% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.84 and revenue of 1.97B.
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What is the sentiment in XPO Inc (XPO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

XPO's earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong pricing, operational efficiency, and market positioning. AI integration and premium services are driving productivity and yield growth. The Q&A highlights confidence in sustaining pricing strength and capturing market share, despite some management vagueness on specifics. Shareholder returns are set to increase with higher free cash flow, and the company is well-positioned for a market recovery. Although some uncertainties exist, the overall sentiment is positive, indicating a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% in the short term.
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