XPEV Should I Buy
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Given the investor's beginner level, long-term strategy, and available capital, XPEV is not a strong buy at the moment. The stock faces significant negative catalysts, including an ongoing investigation, declining vehicle deliveries, and weak financial performance. While there are some positive developments, such as partnerships and innovation, the risks outweigh the potential rewards for a long-term investment at this time.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating some bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral, and the moving averages are bearish, with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. The stock is trading near its resistance level of 18.015, suggesting limited upside potential in the short term.
Partnership with Antom to establish a global payment solution for EV charging, enhancing international competitiveness.
Expansion of charging payment functionality to Hong Kong and plans for Southeast Asia in
Innovation in product offerings, such as humanoid robots and the low-cost Mona sub-brand.
Investigation for potential securities fraud.
Significant decline in vehicle deliveries from December 2025 to January
Weak financial performance with declining net income and EPS.
Bearish moving averages and limited upside potential in the short term.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 101.91% YoY, but net income dropped by 78.92% YoY, and EPS fell by 76.92% YoY. Gross margin improved to 20.14%, up 31.98% YoY, but the overall financial health remains weak due to declining profitability.
Mixed ratings with recent downgrades. JPMorgan lowered the price target to $34 from $50, citing a challenging outlook for China's auto industry. Citi lowered its price target to $27.60 but maintained a Buy rating. Freedom Capital upgraded the stock to Buy with a price target of $25, citing innovation and revenue growth. The consensus reflects cautious optimism but highlights significant risks.
