Should You Buy Xpeng Inc (XPEV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
18.570
1 Day change
-1.17%
52 Week Range
28.230
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Xpeng Inc (XPEV) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company shows strong revenue growth and innovation, the current technical indicators are bearish, and the stock is underperforming in the pre-market. Additionally, weak guidance and negative sentiment from recent news suggest waiting for a better entry point.
Technical Analysis
The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.0772), RSI is neutral at 31.899, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key support levels, with S1 at 19.342 and S2 at 18.64. Pre-market price is $18.83, down -2.18%, indicating further weakness.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Moving Average Consensus
Sell
11
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
2026/01/26 07:20:27
Revenue increased by 101.91% YoY in Q3
Gross margin improved by 31.98% YoY.
Analysts have upgraded the stock with higher price targets, such as Freedom Capital's $25 target and JPMorgan's $50 target.
Launch of innovative products like the Mona sub-brand and ET1 humanoid robot prototype.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
2026/01/26 07:20:27
Weak guidance for the next quarter dampens outlook.
Net income and EPS dropped significantly YoY (-78.92% and -76.92%, respectively).
Bearish technical indicators and pre-market price decline (-2.18%).
Negative sentiment from recent news, including competition in the auto market and a drop in shares despite new financing options.
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, revenue surged by 101.91% YoY to $2.85 billion, but net income dropped by -78.92% YoY to -$53.21 million. EPS also fell by -76.92% YoY to -0.03. Gross margin improved to 20.14%, up 31.98% YoY.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analysts are generally positive on XPEV, with recent upgrades from Freedom Capital (Buy, $25 target) and Daiwa (Buy, $29 target). JPMorgan has a bullish $50 price target. However, weak guidance for the next quarter tempers enthusiasm.
Wall Street analysts forecast XPEV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPEV is 29.67 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast XPEV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for XPEV is 29.67 USD with a low forecast of 20 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.790
Low
20
Averages
29.67
High
50
Current: 18.790
Low
20
Averages
29.67
High
50
Freedom Capital
Roman Lukianchikov
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$20 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Freedom Capital
Roman Lukianchikov
Price Target
$20 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
As previously reported, Freedom Capital analyst Roman Lukianchikov upgraded XPeng to Buy from Hold with a price target of $25, up from $20, on positive performance trends. The firm says the company's results exceeded expectations, but the outlook was dampened by weak guidance for the next quarter. Innovation has enabled the launch of the low-cost sub-brand Mona, driving revenue growth, while greater technological sophistication has allowed XPeng to price its premium vehicles above competitors, supporting margins, Freedom adds.
Freedom Capital
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$20 -> $25
2026-01-06
Reason
Freedom Capital
Price Target
$20 -> $25
2026-01-06
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Freedom Capital upgraded XPeng to Buy from Hold with a price target of $25, up from $20.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for XPEV
