XELB Valuation

Xcel Brands Inc

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1.556

-0.004(-0.256%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

XELB Relative Valuation

XELB's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, XELB is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.32 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -0.02. The fair price of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) is between 2.16 to 6.42 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 1.54 USD , Xcel Brands Inc is Undervalued By 28.81%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

2.16-6.42

Current Price：1.54

28.81%

Undervalued

-2.40

Trailing

Forward

5.74

EV/EBITDA

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) has a current EV/EBITDA of 5.74. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -19.92, Undervalued between -19.92 and -9.51, Fairly Valued between 11.31 and -9.51, Overvalued between 11.31 and 21.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.72. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 5.74 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-8.54

EV/EBIT

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) has a current EV/EBIT of -8.54. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -33.48. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -270.41, Undervalued between -270.41 and -151.95, Fairly Valued between 84.98 and -151.95, Overvalued between 84.98 and 203.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 203.44. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -8.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.32

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) has a current PS of 0.32. The 5-year average PS is 1.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.05, Undervalued between -0.05 and 0.49, Fairly Valued between 1.58 and 0.49, Overvalued between 1.58 and 2.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.13. The current Forward PS of 0.32 falls within the Undervalued range.

-2.71

P/OCF

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) has a current P/OCF of -2.71. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.71. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -31.57, Undervalued between -31.57 and -15.43, Fairly Valued between 16.85 and -15.43, Overvalued between 16.85 and 32.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 32.99. The current Forward P/OCF of -2.71 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-2.52

P/FCF

Xcel Brands Inc. (XELB) has a current P/FCF of -2.52. The 5-year average P/FCF is 3.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -32.83, Undervalued between -32.83 and -14.88, Fairly Valued between 21.00 and -14.88, Overvalued between 21.00 and 38.94, and Strongly Overvalued above 38.94. The current Forward P/FCF of -2.52 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.13. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.31 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -56.79% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.33, the current P/B ratio is about -58.86% higher. Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -99.17%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -60.71%, the current FCF yield is approximately 63.36% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -40.01% , the current FCF yield is about 147.86% lower.

0.13

P/B

Median3y

0.31

Median5y

0.33

-97.28

FCF Yield

Median3y

-60.71

Median5y

-40.01

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for XELB's competitors is 0.22, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Xcel Brands Inc Corp (XELB) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.32, which is 45.10% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -39.01%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

JX Luxventure Group Inc

Loss

4.32M

AREB.O

American Rebel Holdings Inc

Jerash Holdings (US) Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of XELB decreased by 78.24% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from -0.22 to -0.19.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -27.72%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of XELB in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-39.01%

2.18M → 1.33M

Revenue Growth

-27.72%

-290.52 → -209.98

Margin Expansion

-11.51%

-0.22 → -0.19

P/E Change

-78.24%