The chart below shows how WD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, WD sees a +3.23% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.65% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.93%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Earnings Beat Expectations: Walker & Dunlop, Inc. beats earnings expectations with reported EPS of $1.32, exceeding expectations of $1.18.
Transaction Volume Surge: Total transaction volume reached $13.4 billion in Q4 2024, up 45% year-over-year, showcasing strong growth.
Mortgage Servicing Revenue Surge: Agency loan originations totaled $4.9 billion in Q4, leading to a 62% increase in revenues from mortgage servicing rights compared to Q4 2023.
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $95 million, an 8% increase year-over-year, indicating operational efficiency.
Fannie Mae Lending Leadership: Walker & Dunlop finished the year as Fannie Mae’s largest DUS partner for the sixth consecutive year, with a 91% increase in Fannie Mae lending activity.
Loan Originations Growth: Freddie Mac loan originations grew by 19% to $1.6 billion in Q4, solidifying Walker & Dunlop's position as a top lender.
Q4 Property Sales Surge: Property sales transactions in Q4 totaled $3.5 billion, up 20% year-over-year, demonstrating resilience in a challenging market.
Broker Productivity Increase: The average production per banker broker increased to $172 million, reflecting improved productivity and efficiency.
Strong Revenue Growth: Apprise, the technology-enabled appraisal business, saw revenues more than double from Q1 to Q4, indicating strong growth potential.
Small Balance Lending Growth: The small balance lending business grew total revenues by 20% in 2024, establishing itself as a significant player in the market.
Strong Cash Position: Walker & Dunlop's cash position remains strong with $279 million on the balance sheet, allowing for continued investment and dividend increases.
Dividend Increase Confidence: The company increased its quarterly dividend for the seventh consecutive year, reflecting confidence in its business model and cash generation capabilities.
Negative
Profitability Decline Despite Growth: Adjusted core EPS decreased by 6% year-over-year, indicating a decline in profitability despite overall revenue growth.
Earnings Per Share Decline: The company faced significant challenges in the first half of 2024, with diluted EPS down 37% compared to the first half of 2023 due to interest rate volatility.
Credit Management Challenges: Walker & Dunlop had to repurchase five loans from GSEs, incurring $24 million in provision and repurchase-related expenses, highlighting issues in credit management.
Revenue Adjustment Challenges: The company recognized a $13 million downward adjustment in realization revenues from its affordable housing investment portfolio, indicating struggles in asset sales.
Strategic Business Exit: The decision to exit the Walker & Dunlop Affordable Preservation business was made due to the high capital requirements and poor return profile, suggesting a strategic retreat from certain market segments.
Production Efficiency Challenges: The company’s average production per banker broker remains below pre-pandemic levels, indicating potential inefficiencies or challenges in scaling operations post-pandemic.
Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (NYSE:WD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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