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TFPM Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp(TFPM) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.220.24+9.0993.67M93.46M-0.22+2.13+9.22
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours0.210.24+14.2984.49M94.10M+11.37+7.47+7.95
FY2025Q12025-05-06After Hours0.190.20+5.2673.90M82.25M+11.29-0.68-8.89
FY2024Q42025-02-19After Hours0.170.18+5.8874.10M74.21M+0.15-4.57-0.06
FY2024Q32024-11-05After Hours0.140.15+7.1473.70M73.67M-0.04-0.87-7.17
FY2024Q22024-08-07After Hours0.12--60.00M63.58M+5.97+3.75+9.87
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.110.12+9.0957.67M57.53M-0.24+0.92+0.68
FY2023Q42024-02-21-0.080.09+12.5051.80M51.74M-0.12+0.24-1.13
FY2023Q32023-11-07-0.080.09+12.5049.40M49.43M+0.05-1.53-8.56
-2023-05-09-0.110.07-36.36----0.24-11.52
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TFPM Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.24, compared to analyst estimates of 0.22 by 9.09% . Revenue for the quarter reached 93.46M compared to expectations of 93.67M by -0.22% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.13% one-day change and a 9.22% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TFPM Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp(TFPM) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 93.67M and an EPS of 0.28.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 8.36%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 10.64%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 15.87% . These revisions correlate with a 15.74% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TFPM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+8.36%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+10.64%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+15.87%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+15.74%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:381.57M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.96
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Stock Price32.79
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TFPM Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.24 (Actual) vs.0.22 (Estimate) (9.09%)
Revenue: 93.46M (Actual) vs. 93.67M (Estimate) (-0.22%)
Price Reaction: 2.13%(1-Day), 9.22%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.24 (Actual) vs.0.21 (Estimate) (14.29%)
Revenue: 94.10M (Actual) vs. 84.49M (Estimate) (11.37%)
Price Reaction: 7.47%(1-Day), 7.95%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.20 (Actual) vs.0.19 (Estimate) (5.26%)
Revenue: 82.25M (Actual) vs. 73.90M (Estimate) (11.29%)
Price Reaction: -0.68%(1-Day), -8.89%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TFPM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TFPM sees a +1.29% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.30% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.08%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.13% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 13.40% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and optimistic guidance, including a dividend increase. The Q&A section reveals confidence in legal positions and potential revenue from new acquisitions. Despite some lack of clarity in management responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to growth catalysts and strategic positioning. Given the market cap, expect a positive stock price movement (2% to 8%) in the next two weeks.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-08
The company demonstrates strong financial performance with record GEO sales, zero debt, and increased dividends. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, such as lack of asset-specific guidance and potential risks, the overall outlook is optimistic with strong cash flow, strategic acquisitions, and a robust deal pipeline. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record EBITDA, zero debt, and robust cash flow growth. The acquisition of new streams and ESG ranking are positive developments. Despite some risks, including integration challenges and market fluctuations, the company's strategic plans, such as potential dividend increases and share buybacks, support a positive outlook. The Q&A section highlighted some uncertainties, but overall sentiment remains positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% for this mid-cap company.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance is strong, with robust cash flows, zero debt, and share buybacks. However, there are potential regulatory, supply chain, and legal risks, particularly concerning the acquisition and legal action against Step Gold. The Q&A section highlights management's confidence but lacks clarity on certain projects. The maintained dividend and share buybacks are positive, but the absence of revenue growth details and potential regulatory issues temper the outlook. Given the market cap, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-06
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance, including record sales volumes and operating cash flow, a solid liquidity position, and a small net debt. The inclusion in the S&P/TSX Composite Index and significant exploration success are positive catalysts. The Q&A section suggests a strong project pipeline and a focus on traditional royalties and streams, mitigating some risks. Despite competitive pressures and potential regulatory issues, the company's strategic focus and financial health suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenues and cash flows, a 5% dividend increase, and a robust liquidity position. The company is on track for continued production growth and maintains high asset margins. Despite competitive pressures and vague responses about impairment charges, the overall sentiment is positive due to the optimistic guidance and strategic capital allocation, including share buybacks. With a market cap of approximately $3 billion, the stock is likely to see a positive reaction over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TFPM’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

TFPM reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 93.46M against an estimate of 93.67M, resulting in a -0.22% surprise. The EPS was 0.24, surpassing the expected 0.22 by 9.09% . The stock experienced a 2.13% price change on the earnings day and a 9.22% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TFPM’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following TFPM’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 2.13% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 9.22% change. Historically, TFPM’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.29% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.30% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TFPM for 2025/Q3?

For 2025/Q3, analysts estimate TFPM’s annual revenue to reach 93.67M, while the EPS is projected at 0.28. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 8.36% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 15.87% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does TFPM’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between TFPM’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 8.36%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 15.87% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from TFPM’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, TFPM’s stock price typically moves by +1.29% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.30% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q3 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.28 and revenue of 93.67M.
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What is the sentiment in Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and optimistic guidance, including a dividend increase. The Q&A section reveals confidence in legal positions and potential revenue from new acquisitions. Despite some lack of clarity in management responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to growth catalysts and strategic positioning. Given the market cap, expect a positive stock price movement (2% to 8%) in the next two weeks.
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