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  3. SPSC
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SPSC

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
193.60M
+13.28%
1.012
+13.7%
197.68M
+8.88%
1.085
+8.47%
200.10M
+6.78%
1.113
+11.34%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for SPS Commerce, Inc. (SPSC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -1.21% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -24.39%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.21%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+2.19%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-24.39%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast SPSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPSC is 99.78 USD with a low forecast of 80.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SPSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPSC is 99.78 USD with a low forecast of 80.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 83.630
sliders
Low
80.00
Averages
99.78
High
125.00
Current: 83.630
sliders
Low
80.00
Averages
99.78
High
125.00
Morgan Stanley
Chris Quintero
Overweight -> Equal Weight
downgrade
$140 -> $100
2025-11-11
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Chris Quintero
Price Target
$140 -> $100
2025-11-11
downgrade
Overweight -> Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Chris Quintero downgraded SPS Commerce to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of $100, down from $140. The firm believes the company's near-term growth will be "constrained" as the macro environment is hurting its retail end market. SPS lacks positive catalysts to turn its growth around in the near-term, which will keep the stock range-bound, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
DA Davidson
Neutral
downgrade
$125 -> $80
2025-10-31
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$125 -> $80
2025-10-31
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson lowered the firm's price target on SPS Commerce to $80 from $125 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm cites the company's Q3 revenue miss and 2025 guidance cut, along with below-consensus 2026 growth outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The company added 450 new customers in Q3 but based on the firm's conversations with management, it now expects negative sequential growth in the count of total customers in Q4 given delayed purchases and stable churn levels, the firm added.
Baird
Baird
Neutral
downgrade
$145 -> $104
2025-10-31
Reason
Baird
Baird
Price Target
$145 -> $104
2025-10-31
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Baird lowered the firm's price target on SPS Commerce to $104 from $145 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results whic were a rare miss for the company.
Northland
Market Perform -> Outperform
upgrade
$109
2025-10-31
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$109
2025-10-31
upgrade
Market Perform -> Outperform
Reason
Northland upgraded SPS Commerce to Outperform from Market Perform with a $109 price target. Amazon's (AMZN) reduced inventory level policy, likely in response to overstocking in response to tariffs, drives $7M of the $8M revenue guidance reduction for the second half of this calendar year, according to the analyst, who argues that the pace of and refreshed buyback signal management expects organic growth to stabilize at least at 7%.
Needham
Buy
downgrade
$160 -> $110
2025-10-31
Reason
Needham
Price Target
$160 -> $110
2025-10-31
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Needham lowered the firm's price target on SPS Commerce to $110 from $160 but keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported its first poor quarter as a public company as Q3 revenues were $3M below guidance due to a mis-calculation in its acquired Revenue Recovery business, driving shares 25% lower in the after-market, though the firm is defending the stock at peak pessimism and would be aggressive buyers of the weakness, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Stifel
Buy -> Hold
downgrade
$150 -> $80
2025-10-31
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$150 -> $80
2025-10-31
downgrade
Buy -> Hold
Reason
Stifel downgraded SPS Commerce to Hold from Buy with a price target of $80, down from $150. The firm says macro headwinds and spend "scrutiny" in the retail ecosystem bring uncertainty around the company's sales performance. SPS's Q3 revenue, Q4 outlook, and initial guidance for 2026 came in below consensus, with management pointing to delayed relationship management campaigns with retailers, continued supplier challenges and spend scrutiny, and unforeseen seasonality in the newer revenue recovery space, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC.O) is 19.17, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 53.09. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess SPS Commerce Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Strongly Undervalued
5Y Average PE
53.09
Current PE
19.17
Overvalued PE
66.03
Undervalued PE
40.16

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
31.46
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
38.41
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
24.50

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
9.53
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
11.50
Undervalued PS
7.56
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

SPSC News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-10-31
12:00:53
SPS Commerce Declines by 23.5%
select
2025-10-31
10:00:04
SPS Commerce Declines by 25.6%
select
2025-10-30 (ET)
2025-10-30
16:29:12
SPS Commerce projects FY25 EPS between $4.10 and $4.15, surpassing consensus estimate of $4.04.
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
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1.0
12-03Globenewswire
SPS Commerce to Present at Nasdaq Investor Conference on December 9, 2025
  • Investor Conference Participation: SPS Commerce will present at the Nasdaq 53rd Investor Conference on December 9, 2025, at 3:00 PM GMT, showcasing its leadership in retail supply chain cloud services, which is expected to attract investor interest.
  • Sustained Growth Record: The company has achieved 99 consecutive quarters of revenue growth, indicating strong market performance across retail, distribution, and logistics sectors, further solidifying its competitive advantage in the industry.
  • Customer Base Expansion: SPS Commerce currently serves over 50,000 recurring revenue customers across retail, manufacturing, and logistics, demonstrating the broad applicability of its services and robust market demand.
  • Cloud Technology Innovation: By leveraging innovative cloud technology and customer-centric service, SPS Commerce optimizes supply chain operations for retail partners, enhancing operational efficiency and market responsiveness for its clients.
[object Object]
Preview
6.0
11-11Benzinga
SPS Commerce Analyst Changes Outlook; Check Out Tuesday's Top 3 Downgrades

  • Analyst Downgrades: Evercore ISI Group downgraded Intellia Therapeutics from Outperform to In-Line, reducing the price target from $17 to $8, with shares closing at $9.73.

  • SPS Commerce Rating Change: Morgan Stanley downgraded SPS Commerce from Overweight to Equal-Weight, cutting the price target from $140 to $100, while shares closed at $81.65.

  • Marriott Vacations Adjustment: Mizuho downgraded Marriott Vacations Worldwide from Outperform to Neutral, lowering the price target from $85 to $58, with shares closing at $50.22.

  • Market Overview: The article provides insights into recent analyst rating changes for various stocks, highlighting the current market performance and analyst perspectives.

[object Object]
Preview
6.0
11-11Benzinga
Morgan Stanley Lowers SPS Commerce Rating to Equal-Weight and Reduces Price Target to $100

  • Real-time Intelligence: Benzinga Pro offers the fastest news alerts for traders to stay updated on market movements.

  • Exclusive Content: Subscribers gain access to unique stories and insights generated by Benzinga reporters.

  • Community of Traders: Over 10,000 serious traders are part of the Benzinga Pro community, enhancing their trading strategies.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock price today?

The current price of SPSC is 83.63 USD — it has increased 0.16 % in the last trading day.

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What is SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)'s business?

SPS Commerce, Inc. is a provider of retail supply chain cloud services, connecting trading partners around the globe to optimize supply chain operations for all retail partners. The Company supports data-driven partnerships with innovative cloud technology and customer-obsessed service that focuses on retail, grocery, distribution, supply, manufacturing, and logistics firms. The Company's products include Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other products. Fulfillment products offer a comprehensive solution designed to streamline supply chain operations. The Analytics products simplifies managing sell-through data from our customers business partners by handling data acquisition, cleansing, normalization, and delivery. Its Other products offer complementary products, such as assortment and community. In addition to these offerings, it also provides one-time services such as professional services and testing and certification.

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What is the price predicton of SPSC Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast SPSC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPSC is 99.78 USD with a low forecast of 80.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)'s revenue for the last quarter?

SPS Commerce Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 189.90M USD, increased 16.02 % YoY.

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What is SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

SPS Commerce Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.67 USD, increased 8.06 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for SPS Commerce, Inc. (SPSC) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -1.21% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -24.39%.
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How many employees does SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC). have?

SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC) has 2783 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is SPS Commerce Inc (SPSC) market cap?

Today SPSC has the market capitalization of 3.15B USD.

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