FA Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how FA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FA sees a +2.66% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.18%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
FA Key Earning Data
FA Earnings Analysis
Positive
Strong Q4 Performance: First Advantage generated solid results for Q4 and full year 2024 despite an uncertain macro environment, maintaining cost discipline and robust margins.
Strategic Acquisition Success: The company successfully closed a $2.2 billion strategic acquisition of Sterling, enhancing its scale and capabilities.
Updated Strategic Focus: First Advantage is rolling out its updated strategy, FA 5.0, which focuses on synergy targets, deleveraging the balance sheet, and accelerating its go-to-market strategy.
Increased Synergy Target Range: The synergy target range has been increased to $60 million to $70 million, up from the previous target of $50 million to $70 million, indicating strong progress in synergy realization.
Pro Forma Revenue and EBITDA: Pro forma full-year revenues reached approximately $1.5 billion, with $397 million in pro forma adjusted EBITDA, showcasing sustained profitability during the integration process.
Customer Retention Success: The company completed nearly 190 million screens for 80,000 active customers, including over two-thirds of Fortune 100 companies, demonstrating strong customer retention at approximately 96%.
Consistent Sales Performance: First Advantage's sales engine continues to deliver consistent results, with 25 enterprise bookings in Q4 and a strong pipeline momentum heading into 2025.
Vertical Growth Resilience: The company has seen growth in key verticals such as healthcare and transportation, which proved resilient through macro challenges, contributing to upsell and cross-sell success.
AI-Driven Innovation Strategy: First Advantage is focused on innovation, integrating AI capabilities into workflows to enhance efficiency and customer service, which is a clear competitive advantage.
Adjusted Operating Cash Flows: The company generated adjusted operating cash flows of $165 million, reflecting effective working capital management and cash flow conversion.
Negative
Sluggish Revenue Growth: Pro forma revenues for Q4 were $375 million, up only 0.9% year-over-year, indicating sluggish growth.
Revenue Decline in Americas Segment: Legacy First Advantage Americas segment revenues were down 5.5% from the prior year, impacted by consumer uncertainty affecting retail and transportation hiring levels.
Weaker Q4 Seasonal Hiring: Seasonal hiring revenues in Q4 were weaker than expected and lasted for a notably shorter duration compared to the prior year.
Flat Revenue Performance: Legacy First Advantage International segment revenues were flat year-over-year, indicating a lack of growth in this area.
EBITDA Margin Decline: Pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin was 26.7%, down approximately 300 basis points versus the prior year, reflecting margin pressure from the Sterling acquisition.
Margin Comparison Analysis: Legacy Sterling continued to operate at a lower margin relative to Legacy First Advantage due to a mix shift towards lower-margin services and a more fixed cost approach to fulfillment.
Revenue Decline Analysis: The overall annual performance showed that Legacy First Advantage revenues were down 2.2%, indicating a decline in business performance.
Prudent Growth Guidance: The guidance for 2025 reflects a prudent posture towards growth, particularly in the first half of the year, with expected slight to modest full year base revenue declines across the entire range.
Q1 Revenue Decline Projection: The expected Q1 year-over-year revenues are projected to decline by approximately 1% to 4%, indicating continued challenges in the early part of the year.
EPS Impact from Acquisition: The anticipated impacts of the Sterling acquisition and the financing costs are expected to weigh on adjusted diluted EPS in 2025.
FA FAQs
How does FA typically perform around its earnings report dates?
FA's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a +2.66% change leading up to the report and a -1.23% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is First Advantage Corp (FA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
FA Earning Call Sentiment
First Advantage Corporation (NASDAQ:FA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

FA.O
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