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BXMT Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc(BXMT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
-2025-10-29Pre-Market0.160.19+18.75102.23M345.96M+238.41+3.47+2.26
-2025-07-30Pre-Market0.200.19-5.00146.89M94.81M-35.46-3.77-2.43
FY2025Q12025-04-30Pre-Market-0.180.13+172.22107.23M89.82M-16.23+0.47-0.26
FY2024Q42025-02-12Pre-Market0.370.39+5.41110.59M101.56M-8.17+1.58+9.09
FY2024Q32024-10-23Pre-Market0.260.44+69.23115.46M108.35M-6.16+2.63-0.54
FY2024Q22024-07-24-0.460.51+10.87130.35M126.77M-2.75-11.61-8.46
FY2024Q12024-04-24-0.440.60+36.36144.68M142.39M-1.58-4.60-7.79
FY2023Q42024-02-14-0.580.65+12.07156.60M153.77M-1.81+6.02+7.73
FY2023Q32023-10-25-0.650.73+12.31163.64M165.37M+1.06-2.04-0.75
FY2023Q22023-07-26-0.620.75+20.97164.30M177.34M+7.94+5.00+1.25
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BXMT Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc reported performance for , announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 0.19, compared to analyst estimates of 0.16 by 18.75% . Revenue for the quarter reached 345.96M compared to expectations of 102.23M by 238.41% .
The stock price reacted with a 3.47% one-day change and a 2.26% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

BXMT Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc(BXMT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q2 project quarter revenue of 112.42M and an EPS of 0.28.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q2 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted No Change by 0% . These revisions correlate with a -2.04% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between BXMT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
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EPS Estimates for FY2025
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Revenue Estimates for Q2 2025
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Stock Price
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-2.04%
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1Y
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5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:450.02M
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.17
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Stock Price19.67
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BXMT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
(2025-10-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.16 (Estimate) (18.75%)
Revenue: 345.96M (Actual) vs. 102.23M (Estimate) (238.41%)
Price Reaction: 3.47%(1-Day), 2.26%(5-Day)
(2025-07-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.20 (Estimate) (-5.00%)
Revenue: 94.81M (Actual) vs. 146.89M (Estimate) (-35.46%)
Price Reaction: -3.77%(1-Day), -2.43%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.13 (Actual) vs.-0.18 (Estimate) (172.22%)
Revenue: 89.82M (Actual) vs. 107.23M (Estimate) (-16.23%)
Price Reaction: 0.47%(1-Day), -0.26%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how BXMT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, BXMT sees a -0.00% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.51% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.29%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.44% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.86% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-29
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook: impaired loans have significantly declined, liquidity is strong, and share repurchases signal confidence. The U.S. market shows a strong recovery, and the company is strategically balancing new investments and buybacks. Although specific earnings uplift figures were not provided, the overall financial health and strategic initiatives suggest a positive sentiment, warranting a 'Positive' rating. Given the market cap, this could lead to a 2%-8% increase in stock price.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include strong distributable earnings, a significant reduction in impaired loans, and a solid dividend yield. However, concerns about macro-driven risks, regulatory challenges, and market volatility offset these positives. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism, but management's reluctance to provide specific guidance on some issues raises uncertainty. Given the company's market cap and the mixed sentiment, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-30
The company's earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is positive momentum in reducing impaired loans and maintaining a strong dividend, concerns persist around macroeconomic risks, credit risk, and regulatory challenges. The Q&A section highlighted management's evasiveness on certain details, which may cause investor uncertainty. Although there are improvements in financial metrics, the risks and lack of strong guidance lead to a neutral sentiment. Given the company's market cap, the stock is unlikely to experience significant volatility in the next two weeks, resulting in a neutral stock price prediction.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-30
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with significant debt reduction, high liquidity, and a robust dividend yield. The company's strategic focus on loan growth and sector diversification is promising. Despite macroeconomic risks and market volatility, management's optimistic guidance and successful impaired loan resolutions are positive signals. The Q&A reveals confidence in portfolio growth and sector resilience, with analysts showing neutral to positive sentiment. Considering the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a moderate positive movement, driven by the company's strategic initiatives and financial health.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-13
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While there are positives like strong repayment activity, stock buybacks, and liquidity, negatives include a significant DE miss and charge-offs impacting earnings. The Q&A reveals management's cautious approach, with some unanswered questions. The market cap suggests moderate reactions. Overall, the positive factors are offset by financial challenges, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-23
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive signs such as increased book value, liquidity improvements, and strategic partnerships, there are also significant concerns. The GAAP net loss and increased CECL reserves indicate financial stress, and the unclear timeline for dividend sustainability adds uncertainty. The Q&A further highlights potential credit risks and market skepticism. Given the market cap and these mixed signals, the stock price is likely to remain stable with a neutral sentiment over the next two weeks.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-24
The earnings call reveals a negative sentiment: a GAAP net loss, reduced dividend, and increased CECL reserves signal financial strain. The Q&A section highlights management's lack of clarity on office loan specifics and future losses, raising concerns. Despite a stock repurchase plan, the financial outlook and dividend cut suggest negative market reactions, especially given the company's small-cap status.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of BXMT’s latest earnings report for ?

BXMT reported its earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 345.96M against an estimate of 102.23M, resulting in a 238.41% surprise. The EPS was 0.19, surpassing the expected 0.16 by 18.75% . The stock experienced a 3.47% price change on the earnings day and a 2.26% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did BXMT’s stock price react after the earnings release?

Following BXMT’s earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by 3.47% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 2.26% change. Historically, BXMT’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.00% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.51% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for BXMT for 2025/Q2?

For 2025/Q2, analysts estimate BXMT’s annual revenue to reach 112.42M, while the EPS is projected at 0.28. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does BXMT’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between BXMT’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from BXMT’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, BXMT’s stock price typically moves by -0.00% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.51% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.28 and revenue of 112.42M.
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What is the sentiment in Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook: impaired loans have significantly declined, liquidity is strong, and share repurchases signal confidence. The U.S. market shows a strong recovery, and the company is strategically balancing new investments and buybacks. Although specific earnings uplift figures were not provided, the overall financial health and strategic initiatives suggest a positive sentiment, warranting a 'Positive' rating. Given the market cap, this could lead to a 2%-8% increase in stock price.
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