Should You Buy Vicor Corp (VICR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
157.670
1 Day change
-8.08%
52 Week Range
174.800
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. VICR just sold off hard (-8.08% regular session) and momentum has turned down (MACD negative and worsening). While the bigger-picture trend still looks constructive (bullish moving-average stack) and fundamentals/analyst view are improving, the near-term setup favors more chop or further downside before a cleaner entry. I would wait for stabilization/reclaim of the ~160.5 pivot or a clear bounce off ~149.6 support; buying immediately is not the best risk/reward today.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Sharp drop from 171.53 to 156.5 puts the stock below the 160.547 pivot, indicating near-term control shifted to sellers.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.15 and negatively expanding = bearish momentum increasing.
RSI: RSI(6) ~49.8 = neutral, not oversold yet (so there’s room to fall before forced mean reversion).
Moving Averages: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 remains bullish, suggesting the larger trend may still be up, but the latest selloff is a near-term trend break/risk-off impulse.
Levels: Resistance at 160.55 (pivot) then 171.52 (R1). Support at 149.58 (S1) then 142.80 (S2). A loss of ~149.6 would materially worsen the short-term picture.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: OI put-call ~0.9 is roughly balanced (slightly call-leaning). Volume put-call ~0.49 is notably call-heavy, suggesting traders are leaning bullish/looking for a bounce.
Positioning/Activity: Today’s option volume is elevated versus the 30-day average (24.3x), signaling heightened event-like attention despite no news listed.
Volatility: 30D IV ~67% with IV percentile ~71.2 (relatively expensive options vs its own history), implying the market is pricing larger moves; this often coincides with uncertainty after big price swings.
Takeaway: Options flow leans bullish for a rebound, but elevated IV and the fresh breakdown in price action mean sentiment is optimistic while tape is still weak—mixed, not a clean buy signal.
Analyst stance is constructive: Roth Capital keeps a Buy and raised the price target to $175 (from $115), citing faster fab fill and potential for a second fab plus higher margin potential (gross margin objective possibly 65% to 70%).
Call-heavy option volume suggests traders are positioning for a bounce.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Near-term technical damage: large single-day selloff and MACD turning down and worsening.
No news catalysts in the past week to explain/support an immediate reversal; bounce may rely purely on technical mean reversion.
Key downside risk if price breaks below ~149.6 support (next support ~142.8).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $110.423M, +18.52% YoY (solid top-line acceleration).
Net income: $28.292M, +144.91% YoY (strong operating leverage).
EPS: $0.63, +142.31% YoY.
Gross margin: 57.52%, +17.15% YoY (meaningful margin expansion trend).
Overall: Fundamentals are improving sharply, supporting a bullish longer-term view, but this strength is not currently being rewarded in today’s price action.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Roth Capital initiated coverage (Buy, $115 PT on 2025-12-16), then materially raised its PT to $175 on 2026-01-22 while reiterating Buy—an upward revision trend.
Wall Street pros: faster capacity fill, potential second fab timing, licensing/royalty ramp, and margin upside.
Wall Street cons (implied from setup): execution/capacity scaling risk and the market’s current reluctance to pay up in the near term (reflected by the sharp pullback).
Ownership/Influencers: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral; no recent congress trading data available and no politician activity provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast VICR stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VICR is 102.5 USD with a low forecast of 90 USD and a high forecast of 115 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VICR stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VICR is 102.5 USD with a low forecast of 90 USD and a high forecast of 115 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 171.530
Low
90
Averages
102.5
High
115
Current: 171.530
Low
90
Averages
102.5
High
115
Roth Capital
Buy
upgrade
$115 -> $175
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$115 -> $175
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Vicor to $175 from $115 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company has participated in a conference and provided several key updates that suggest capacity at its first fab is filling materially faster than previously expected, with demand that may necessitate a second fab as early as mid-2027, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The ramp in licensing revenue and improving fab utilization could support an upward revision to Vicor's gross margin objective from 65% to 70%, the firm added.
Roth Capital
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$115
2025-12-16
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$115
2025-12-16
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Roth Capital initiated coverage of Vicor with a Buy rating and $115 price target.
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