Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UPB has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
UPB stock price ended at $9.02 on Monday, after rising4.4%
The Upstream Bio Inc stock price increased by 4.4% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), rising from 8.5 to 9.02. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 9.53% , ranging from a day low of $8.5 to a day high of 9.31. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.92% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 66.42K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 385.48K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.46M.
UPB Technical Signals
UPB(Upstream Bio Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-12. The total price change during this trend is -9.05%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of UPB over the last 5 trading days is 2.47M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
UPB Moving Average Analysis
Upstream Bio Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $9.919046666666667, and $10.648666666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $7.5582866666666675, and $6.828666666666668. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UPB Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Upstream Bio Inc(UPB) as of 12 May 2025 is 29.72%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.82 to 9.50. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
1
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.832
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.181
Bullish
1 Bearish Signals
1 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
UPB Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Upstream Bio Inc(UPB), our algorithm predicts UPB's 1-month price at $7.80, with an -9.78%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.83%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -9.78% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PGEN.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.83%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UPB
No Data
PGEN
Down: -9.78%Similarity: 96.83%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PGEN.O
96.83%
-9.78%
SIFY.O
96.08%
-21.97%
HOLX.O
96.03%
+1.56%
HCSG.O
95.91%
-0.14%
WKHS.O
95.89%
+1.49%
CCB.O
95.88%
+2.99%
MTRN.N
95.85%
-13.44%
PCG.N
95.83%
+63.53%
EMCG.O
95.80%
+1.34%
XIFR.N
95.78%
-5.72%
UPB Seasonality Analysis
Based on UPB's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is0.00%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in UPB. In contrast,Apriloffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Upstream Bio Inc. (UPB)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UPB has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Upstream Bio Inc. (UPB)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
UPB's stock price fell by -25.27% in 2024,decreased by -44.66% in 2025, and went by
Is UPB a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
UPB has 2 buy signals and 1 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for UPB is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of UPB.
What is the trend of Upstream Bio Inc (UPB)'s moving average?
Upstream Bio Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 20 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for UPB stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Upstream Bio Inc (UPB.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a -9.78% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PGEN stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.83%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for UPB Stock?
### **Price Prediction for UPB Stock in 2025**
UPB stock is expected to trade between **$8.50** and **$11.00** by the end of 2025.
The stock is currently priced at **$9.50** as of 2025-05-12, with a pre-market decline of 2.83% but a 7.71% gain during regular trading hours.
The prediction is based on the company's recent financial performance, including a successful IPO that raised $293 million, extending its financial runway through 2027. However, the stock faces short-term volatility due to worse-than-expected Q3 sales results and increased R&D expenses.
Long-term upside is driven by advancements in clinical trials for severe respiratory disorders and a diversified pipeline, with Phase 2 trials for asthma, CRSwNP, and an upcoming COPD trial in 2025.
The stock's forward P/E ratio of -3.11 reflects current losses but could improve as the company progresses with its clinical trials and achieves potential positive outcomes.
What is price prediction 2030 for UPB Stock?
### **Price Prediction for UPB Stock by 2030**
Based on the analysis of current market trends, technical indicators, and fundamental factors, here is the price prediction for UPB stock by 2030:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: UPB stock could reach **$15** by 2030, driven by a potential technical breakout above the Bollinger Bands upper limit of $10.58 and continued positive MACD divergence.
2. **Bearish Scenario**: If the stock fails to breach key resistance levels, it may trade sideways around **$10**, influenced by its current Fibonacci resistance level of $9.602 and mixed market sentiment.
3. **Neutral Scenario**: UPB stock is likely to stabilize near **$12** by 2030, supported by its current price momentum and the Fibonacci pivot point of $8.826.