UGI Valuation

UGI Corp

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34.590

-0.64(-1.817%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

UGI Relative Valuation

UGI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, UGI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

UGI Corp (UGI) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 11.59 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 11.49. The fair price of UGI Corp (UGI) is between 32.68 to 45.63 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

32.68-45.63

Current Price：34.98

Fair

11.59

Trailing

Forward

7.47

EV/EBITDA

UGI Corp. (UGI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.47. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.65, Undervalued between 5.65 and 6.86, Fairly Valued between 9.27 and 6.86, Overvalued between 9.27 and 10.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.48. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.47 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.19

EV/EBIT

UGI Corp. (UGI) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.19. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 13.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.55, Undervalued between 5.55 and 9.30, Fairly Valued between 16.79 and 9.30, Overvalued between 16.79 and 20.54, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.54. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.86

UGI Corp. (UGI) has a current PS of 0.86. The 5-year average PS is 0.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.37, Undervalued between 0.37 and 0.61, Fairly Valued between 1.09 and 0.61, Overvalued between 1.09 and 1.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.32. The current Forward PS of 0.86 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.36

P/OCF

UGI Corp. (UGI) has a current P/OCF of 5.36. The 5-year average P/OCF is 2.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.88, Undervalued between -2.88 and -0.13, Fairly Valued between 5.36 and -0.13, Overvalued between 5.36 and 8.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 8.11. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.36 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

UGI Corp. (UGI) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 1.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.23, Undervalued between -6.23 and -2.28, Fairly Valued between 5.63 and -2.28, Overvalued between 5.63 and 9.59, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.59. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

UGI Corp (UGI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.29 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 20.49% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.47, the current P/B ratio is about 6.04% higher. UGI Corp (UGI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 5.77%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.40%, the current FCF yield is approximately 31.18% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.91% , the current FCF yield is about 17.48% lower.

1.55

P/B

Median3y

1.29

Median5y

1.47

5.85

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.40

Median5y

4.91

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for UGI's competitors is 0.94, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. UGI Corp Corp (UGI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.86, which is -8.35% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 1.01%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc

Wesco International Inc

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of UGI increased by 44.58% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -3.48 to -11.69.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 1.01%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of UGI in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

1.01%

1.38B → 1.39B

Revenue Growth

235.92%

-3.48 → -11.69

Margin Expansion

-192.35%

-19.92 → 18.39

P/E Change

44.58%