Should You Buy UGI Corp (UGI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
UGI is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The chart is still broadly bullish (stacked moving averages), but momentum is cooling (MACD histogram contracting) and RSI is near overbought (~70.7). Options positioning is notably defensive (high put open-interest skew), and recent fundamentals (FY2025 Q4) were weak with a loss and declining revenue. I’d wait for a quick dip closer to ~39.1 (pivot support) before buying; at ~40.1 the risk/reward isn’t attractive enough given the bearish options skew and upcoming earnings on 2026-02-04.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) signals the primary trend remains up.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.298) but positively contracting, suggesting upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~70.66 is near overbought; that often precedes consolidation/pullback rather than a clean continuation.
Key levels: Pivot support ~39.108 (first area to buy a dip). Below that, S1 ~37.399. Near-term resistance R1 ~40.818, then R2 ~41.874—price (~40.1) is closer to resistance than support.
Pattern-based expectation: Similar-pattern stats imply modest upside next week (+1.55%) but a negative next-month bias (-1.97%), reinforcing the idea that upside may be limited near-term.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: On 2025-12-15, Mizuho (Gabriel Moreen) raised UGI’s price target to $44 from $41 and maintained Outperform, citing post-Q4 momentum and favorable risk/reward.
Wall Street pro view (pros): believes shares offer asymmetric upside and that operational momentum can continue.
Wall Street con view (cons based on current data): recent quarter showed declining revenue and a loss, and options positioning is skewed defensive—suggesting the market is not fully convinced about near-term upside.
Influential trading check: Hedge funds and insiders are reported Neutral recently; no recent Congress trading data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast UGI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UGI is 44.5 USD with a low forecast of 44 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast UGI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UGI is 44.5 USD with a low forecast of 44 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 40.600
Current: 40.600
