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TXRH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
177.380
1 Day change
12.32%
52 Week Range
199.990
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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Based on the provided data, Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) does not present a compelling buy opportunity for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. The stock's technical indicators are neutral to bearish, financial performance shows declining profitability, and analysts have lowered price targets with cautious sentiment. While options data shows moderate bullish sentiment, there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to justify immediate action.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 43.654, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below its pivot level (162.365), with support at 158.477 and resistance at 166.254, suggesting limited upside in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio of 0.55 and option volume put-call ratio of 0.61 indicate moderate bullish sentiment. However, implied volatility is high (35.16) with an IV percentile of 87.25, suggesting elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
16

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. There are no recent news events or significant positive developments. Analysts note potential easing of beef costs in the second half of the year, but this is speculative and not immediate.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have broadly lowered price targets, citing concerns about beef pricing, slowing comparable sales, and inflationary pressures.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 3.07% YoY to $1.48 billion. However, net income dropped by 26.93% YoY to $84.64 million, and EPS fell by 26.01% YoY to 1.28. Gross margin also declined by 4.84% YoY to 60.17, indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, with RBC, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, and Deutsche Bank expressing cautious sentiment. While some maintain Buy or Overweight ratings, the consensus highlights concerns about beef pricing and inflationary pressures, limiting near-term upside.

Wall Street analysts forecast TXRH stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TXRH stock price to rise
7 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 157.930
sliders
Low
155
Averages
190.04
High
228
Current: 157.930
sliders
Low
155
Averages
190.04
High
228
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
maintain
$175 -> $180
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$175 -> $180
AI Analysis
2026-05-08
New
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
RBC Capital raised the firm's price target on Texas Roadhouse to $180 from $175 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The company's Q1 results were largely positive, with beef inflation lower than anticipated and management guiding down the commodity outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Quarter to date demand was solid, with the 2-year stack accelerating 100 bps, RBC added.
Morgan Stanley
Brian Harbour
maintain
$199 -> $201
2026-05-08
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Brian Harbour
Price Target
$199 -> $201
2026-05-08
New
maintain
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Harbour raised the firm's price target on Texas Roadhouse to $201 from $199 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
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