Should You Buy Ternium SA (TX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
43.380
1 Day change
2.31%
52 Week Range
44.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Ternium SA (TX) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While technical indicators show bullish momentum, the overbought RSI and weak financial performance in the latest quarter suggest caution. Additionally, the absence of significant positive catalysts or strong trading signals further supports a hold decision.
Technical Analysis
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is at 86.971, signaling the stock is overbought. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level of 43.627, with the next resistance at 44.697.
Overbought RSI, weak financial performance in Q3 2025 (revenue, net income, and EPS declined significantly YoY). No recent congress trading data or significant insider/hedge fund activity.
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, revenue dropped by -11.74% YoY, net income fell by -34.90% YoY, and EPS declined by -50.00% YoY. Gross margin improved to 15.38%, up 19.13% YoY.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
UBS raised the price target from $32 to $39 but maintained a Neutral rating, reflecting a lack of strong bullish sentiment.
Wall Street analysts forecast TX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TX is 40.13 USD with a low forecast of 39 USD and a high forecast of 41 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TX stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TX is 40.13 USD with a low forecast of 39 USD and a high forecast of 41 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.400
Low
39
Averages
40.13
High
41
Current: 42.400
Low
39
Averages
40.13
High
41
UBS
Caio Greiner
Neutral
maintain
$32 -> $39
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
Reason
UBS
Caio Greiner
Price Target
$32 -> $39
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Caio Greiner raised the firm's price target on Ternium to $39 from $32 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
HSBC
Jonathan Brandt
Buy
maintain
$38 -> $41
2025-10-17
Reason
HSBC
Jonathan Brandt
Price Target
$38 -> $41
2025-10-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
HSBC analyst Jonathan Brandt raised the firm's price target on Ternium to $41 from $38 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says precious metal prices are hitting "record decades-high levels," with copper outperforming base and bulk metals on supply disruptions. HSBC expects Freeport to benefit from the strength in copper and gold prices.
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