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TVRD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tvardi Therapeutics Inc (TVRD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
3.890
1 Day change
-0.77%
52 Week Range
43.650
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Tvardi Therapeutics Inc (TVRD) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock's technical indicators are bearish, options sentiment is neutral, and the company lacks significant financial growth or positive news catalysts. While the analyst upgrade and potential for asset readouts are positive, they are speculative and not immediate. Given the user's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, this stock does not align with their investment profile.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for TVRD are bearish. The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 39.337, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the pivot level of 3.92, with key support at 3.702 and resistance at 4.137.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Lucid Capital upgraded the stock to Buy with a $6 price target, citing undervaluation and potential for asset readouts to drive the stock higher. The stock has an 80% chance of gaining 8.68% in the next month based on historical candlestick patterns.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No significant trading trends from hedge funds or insiders. No recent news or congress trading data. Financial performance is weak, with no revenue growth, negative net income, and a significant drop in EPS (-72.43% YoY).

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, the company reported no revenue growth (0% YoY), a net loss of -$5.53 million (up 0.25% YoY), and a significant decline in EPS (-72.43% YoY). Gross margin remains at 0%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Lucid Capital upgraded the stock to Buy from Neutral with a $6 price target, citing undervaluation and potential for asset readouts to drive the stock higher. However, this is speculative and dependent on future events.

Wall Street analysts forecast TVRD stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TVRD stock price to rise
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.920
sliders
Low
4
Averages
9
High
15
Current: 3.920
sliders
Low
4
Averages
9
High
15
Lucid Capital
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$6
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Lucid Capital
Price Target
$6
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
Lucid Capital upgraded Tvardi Therapeutics to Buy from Neutral with a $6 price target. The firm finds the stock undervalued at current levels. Lucid's model suggests TTI-101 in hepatocellular carcinoma and TTI-109 could be worth $6 per share. Tvardi is currently trading near its cash value levels, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Lucid cites valuation and the potential for Tvardi's assets to inflect the story with key readouts this year for the upgrade.
Raymond James
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
2025-10-14
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
2025-10-14
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
Raymond James downgraded Tvardi Therapeutics to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The firm believes many open questions remain regarding TTI-101 following the unsuccessful REVERT-IPF readout. The discontinuation rate seen in the readout adds risk to this program, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Raymond James downgraded Tvardi to reflect the removal of the idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis opportunity and uncertainty on the path forward.
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