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TVRD Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tvardi Therapeutics Inc (TVRD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
3.390
1 Day change
5.28%
52 Week Range
43.650
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Tvardi Therapeutics Inc (TVRD) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The stock lacks significant positive catalysts, has weak financial performance, and no strong trading signals. While there is some potential for future developments, the current data does not justify an immediate investment.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a mild bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 53.636, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 3.105, with resistance at 3.391 and support at 2.819. Overall, the technical indicators do not strongly support a buy decision.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • The stock is trading near its cash value levels, which might provide some downside protection.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Both Piper Sandler and Barclays lowered their price targets to $3 and $4, respectively, reflecting cautious sentiment. The company's financial performance is weak, with a significant drop in net income (-42.75% YoY) and EPS (-84.41% YoY). No recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity has been reported.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported no revenue growth (0% YoY), a net income loss of -$7.275 million (-42.75% YoY), and a sharp decline in EPS to -0.77 (-84.41% YoY). Gross margin remains at 0%. Overall, the financials indicate poor performance and no growth trends.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed to negative. Piper Sandler and Barclays lowered their price targets, maintaining Neutral and Equal Weight ratings, respectively. Lucid Capital upgraded the stock to Buy with a $6 price target, citing undervaluation and potential catalysts in TTI-101 and TTI-109.

Wall Street analysts forecast TVRD stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TVRD stock price to rise
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.390
sliders
Low
4
Averages
9
High
15
Current: 3.390
sliders
Low
4
Averages
9
High
15
Barclays
Equal Weight -> Underweight
downgrade
$4 -> $3
AI Analysis
2026-04-20
New
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$4 -> $3
AI Analysis
2026-04-20
New
downgrade
Equal Weight -> Underweight
Reason
Barclays downgraded Tvardi Therapeutics to Underweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $3, down from $4. The company's funding overhang makes the story "incrementally more challenged" in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays sees additional risks to the story with the pushout of Tvardi 's Phase 2 REVERT hepatocellular carcinoma study of TTI-101 from to the second half of 2026 relative to the company's cash guidance of "through 4Q 2026."
Piper Sandler
Piper Sandler
Neutral
downgrade
$4 -> $3
2026-04-01
Reason
Piper Sandler
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$4 -> $3
2026-04-01
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Tvardi Therapeutics to $3 from $4 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. At Q4/FY25 earnings, Tvardi reiterated TTI-109's Phase 1 HVs is on track for topline and color on next steps in Q2 2026, which the firm expects to be a key catalyst to guide future development of the company's second-generation STAT3 inhibitor. At readout, Piper expects the disclosure will provide insight into TTI-109's differentiated PK/PD, ability to rapidly convert into TTI-101, and exposure rates, which will be crucial to inform future development.
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