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TROX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
9.210
1 Day change
-1.29%
52 Week Range
9.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) is not an ideal buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the stock shows some positive pre-market movement and has bullish moving averages, the financial performance and analyst sentiment suggest caution. The lack of strong trading signals, weak gross margin, and mixed analyst ratings do not support a strong buy recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and is trading near resistance levels (R1: 9.611). However, the MACD histogram is negative (-0.0236) and contracting, indicating weak momentum. RSI is neutral at 66.529, offering no clear signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data shows a strong bullish sentiment with a low put-call ratio, but the implied volatility (85.18) is high, suggesting potential risk.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • The stock is showing bullish moving averages, and pre-market price is up by 0.42%. Revenue increased by 7.99% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.99% YoY to $730M, but net income remains negative at -$176M, albeit improving by 486.67% YoY. EPS is -1.11, up 484.21% YoY. Gross margin dropped significantly to 5.62%, down -76.41% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed to negative. UBS raised the price target to $9 but maintains a Neutral rating. Truist downgraded the stock to Hold with a $9 price target. Mizuho maintains an Underperform rating with a $6 price target. Overall, analysts highlight risks from cost pressures and geographic mix challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast TROX stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TROX stock price to fall
4 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.330
sliders
Low
3.5
Averages
4.97
High
6
Current: 9.330
sliders
Low
3.5
Averages
4.97
High
6
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$9
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$9
AI Analysis
2026-04-09
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on Tronox to $9 from $7.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Truist
Peter Osterland
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$8 -> $9
2026-04-09
Reason
Truist
Peter Osterland
Price Target
$8 -> $9
2026-04-09
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Truist analyst Peter Osterland downgraded Tronox to Hold from Buy with a price target of $9, up from $8. Shares of covered TiO2 producers have seen significant momentum year-to-date, notes the analyst, who sees elevated risk that cost pressure and less favorable geographic mix has the potential to impact Tronox earnings and cash flows near-term.
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