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TNYA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tenaya Therapeutics Inc (TNYA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
0.900
1 Day change
-6.58%
52 Week Range
2.350
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Tenaya Therapeutics Inc (TNYA) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. Despite the recent positive news regarding a collaboration with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, the stock's technical indicators suggest it is overbought, and insider selling is significantly high. Additionally, financial performance remains weak, with declining net income and EPS. Analysts have lowered price targets, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals to justify immediate action.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, suggesting bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 83.549, indicating the stock is overbought. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its resistance level of 0.908, which could limit further upside. Historical patterns suggest a high probability of price decline in the short term (-4.47% next day, -6.04% next week, -20.74% next month).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • The company recently announced a collaboration with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals to validate up to 15 gene targets for heart disease, with potential milestone payments of $1.13 billion. This partnership could provide long-term growth opportunities.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 55373.56% increase in selling activity over the last month. Financial performance remains weak, with declining net income (-20.91% YoY) and EPS (-60.00% YoY). Analysts have consistently lowered price targets, citing dilution and other concerns.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, the company reported zero revenue growth (0% YoY). Net income dropped to -$20.28 million (-20.91% YoY), and EPS fell to -0.12 (-60.00% YoY). The financials indicate significant challenges in profitability and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain Buy or Overweight ratings but have significantly lowered price targets recently. Morgan Stanley reduced the target to $2 from $5, Canaccord to $4 from $6, Chardan to $8 from $9, and H.C. Wainwright to $3 from $5. The reductions reflect concerns about dilution and financial performance.

Wall Street analysts forecast TNYA stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TNYA stock price to rise
8 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 0.958
sliders
Low
2
Averages
9.14
High
40
Current: 0.958
sliders
Low
2
Averages
9.14
High
40
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
$5 -> $2
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$5 -> $2
AI Analysis
2026-01-08
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Tenaya Therapeutics to $2 from $5 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm sees a continuation of U.S. small-to-mid cap biotech's outperformance in 2026 as commercial names transition from "capital consumers to producers" and Large Cap Biopharma faces a looming patent cliff, the analyst tells investors in an outlook note for the group.
Canaccord
Buy
downgrade
$6 -> $4
2025-12-18
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$6 -> $4
2025-12-18
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Tenaya Therapeutics to $4 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm two key updates from the company; the lifting of the clinical hold on the MyPEAK-1 trial of TN-201 by the FDA and the first look at interim data from the RIDGE-1 Ph1B clinical trial of TN-401 for PKP2-associated ARVC.
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