Should You Buy Travel + Leisure Co (TNL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy now. TNL is sitting near key support (~69.11) after a pullback, downside momentum is fading (MACD negative but contracting), options positioning is strongly bullish (calls heavily favored), and Wall Street targets were recently raised into the high-70s/80. With an impatient entry preference, the current level offers a reasonable risk/reward for a near-term rebound toward the 70.8–73.5 resistance zone ahead of the 2026-02-18 earnings catalyst.
Technical Analysis
Price/levels: Post-market 69.54, trading just above S1=69.109 (near-term support) and above S2=68.074 (next support). Overhead levels: Pivot=70.784, then R1=72.459 and R2=73.494.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.55 (bearish) but negatively contracting, which often signals selling pressure is easing.
RSI: RSI(6)=36.8, leaning toward oversold/weak but not an extreme; this supports a potential bounce if support holds.
Trend/structure: Converging moving averages suggests consolidation/transition rather than a clean uptrend. Pattern-based projection is slightly negative over 1 week (-0.34%) and 1 month (-2.51%), so this is more of a tactical buy near support than a confirmed trend-following entry.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Ratings/targets have been moving up since mid-Nov 2025 through mid-Jan 2026.
- Morgan Stanley (2026-01-16): Overweight, PT raised to $80 (from $68).
- BofA (2026-01-05): Buy, PT raised to $78 (from $68).
- Barclays (2025-12-17): Upgraded to Equal Weight, PT $70 (from $63).
- Wells Fargo (2025-11-17): Initiated Overweight, PT $74.
- Truist (2025-11-14): Buy maintained, PT $71 (from $70).
Wall Street pros: improving targets, generally bullish stance, emphasis on execution/ROIC and resilience in the business model.
Wall Street cons: caution on broader consumer/sector fundamentals and potential estimate revision pressure in 2026 despite reasonable valuations.
Influential/political trades: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity described as neutral with no significant recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast TNL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TNL is 72.68 USD with a low forecast of 65.14 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast TNL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TNL is 72.68 USD with a low forecast of 65.14 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 70.220
Current: 70.220
