Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TGI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
TGI stock price ended at $0 on Friday, after rising0.62%
The TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. stock price increased by 0.62% on the last trading day (25 Jul 2025), rising from 25.83 to 26.01. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 0.77% , ranging from a day low of $25.83 to a day high of 26.03. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.54% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 5.49M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 6.53M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 169.74M.
TGI Technical Signals
TGI(TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. Corp) has 7 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-07-08. The total price change during this trend is +0.42%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of TGI over the last 5 trading days is 55.52M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
TGI Moving Average Analysis
TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, July 27, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $26.04, and $26.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $25.78, and $25.70. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TGI Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.(TGI) as of 24 Jul 2025 is 15.95%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 25.85 to 26.01. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Strong buy
Sell
2
Buy
7
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
7 Bullish Signals
7 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.0431
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.14
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.041
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
26.01
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $16.89 and $32.43.
TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -5.65%
In Jan 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.28. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $23.48 and a high of $29.91.
Feb 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 3.12%
In Feb 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $26.53. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.72 and a high of $32.06.
Mar 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.43%
In Mar 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $24.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.69 and a high of $28.82.
Apr 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.43%
In Apr 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $28.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $22.38 and a high of $30.27.
May 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 2.31%
In May 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $26.32. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.89 and a high of $29.46.
Jun 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -19.51%
In Jun 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.71. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $20.70 and a high of $26.78.
Jul 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.87%
In Jul 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $28.27. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $24.18 and a high of $32.14.
Aug 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.35%
In Aug 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $22.04. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $19.37 and a high of $26.65.
Sep 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -19.51%
In Sep 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.71. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.89 and a high of $25.46.
Oct 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.28%
In Oct 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $28.37. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $26.44 and a high of $32.43.
Nov 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.21%
In Nov 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $27.07. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $21.50 and a high of $28.10.
Dec 2026: TGI Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 8.51%
In Dec 2026, TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s value is forecasted to reach an average price of $27.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $26.78 and a high of $31.29.
TGI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.(TGI), our algorithm predicts TGI's 1-month price at $33.92, with an 31.08%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.13%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI.N) stock, as of Sunday, July 20, 2025 , forecasts a 31.08% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HUIZ.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.13%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
TGI
Future prediction
Up: 31.08%
HUIZ
Up: 31.08%Similarity: 93.13%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
HUIZ.O
93.13%
+31.08%
LSPD.N
91.94%
+20.65%
BKNG.O
91.92%
+5.98%
RUN.O
91.92%
+8.24%
BANL.O
91.65%
+16.82%
QUIK.O
91.54%
+6.85%
OCFC.O
91.36%
-3.13%
LSCC.O
91.24%
+12.83%
RCON.O
91.20%
-17.09%
MAGN.N
91.00%
+4.18%
TGI Seasonality Analysis
Based on TGI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in July is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TGI. In contrast,Mayoffers the highest probability of positive returns at71.43%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (71.43%), while March has the lowest probability (23.08%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.. (TGI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TGI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI.N) stock in May has the highest probability of a positive return (71.43%), while March has the lowest probability (23.08%).
How has TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.. (TGI)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
TGI's stock price rose by 60.66% in 2023,increased by 15.90% in 2024, and went up by 40.67%in 2025.
Is TGI a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
TGI has 7 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for TGI is Strong buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of TGI.
What is the trend of TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI)'s moving average?
TRIUMPH GROUP, INC.'s overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of July 27 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for TGI stock next month?
The price prediction chart for TRIUMPH GROUP, INC. (TGI.N) stock, as of July 20 2025, forecasts a 31.08% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HUIZ stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.13%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for TGI Stock?
### **Price Prediction for TGI Stock in 2025**
The price prediction for TGI stock in 2025 is **$27.50**, driven by strong earnings and positive analyst upgrades.
- **Reason**: TGI's recent Q4 earnings beat expectations with a profit of $28.49 million, up from $5.46 million last year, and JP Morgan upgraded its target price to $26.
- **Technical Analysis**: The stock is currently trading near its upper Bollinger Band, suggesting potential volatility or a pullback.
- **Fibonacci Levels**: The stock is approaching resistance at $26.10, which may act as a ceiling.
- **RSI Levels**: The RSI is at 87.74, indicating overbought conditions, which could lead to a short-term correction.
- **MACD**: The MACD is slightly positive, but the histogram is negative, suggesting bearish momentum.
- **Stochastic Oscillator**: The %K and %D lines are both in overbought territory, which could signal a potential reversal.
- **Bollinger Bands**: The stock is trading near the upper band, indicating potential resistance.
- **Fibonacci Pivot**: The stock is trading above the pivot point of $25.81, indicating bullish momentum.
- **Fibonacci Resistance Levels**: The stock is approaching the first resistance level of $25.92 and the second resistance level of $25.99.
- **Fibonacci Support Levels**: The stock has strong support at $25.70 and $25.63.
- **Moving Averages**: The stock is trading above all major moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.
- **Average True Range (ATR)**: The ATR is 0.10, indicating low volatility.
- **Volume**: The volume is 4,209,977, which is slightly above average, indicating moderate buying interest.
- **Price Prediction**: Based on the technical analysis, the stock is expected to reach $27.50 in the short term, with a potential higher target of $28 if it breaks through the resistance levels.
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What is price prediction 2030 for TGI Stock?
TGI stock is predicted to reach **$45 by 2030**, driven by strong earnings growth and positive analyst sentiment. The company's improving fundamentals and industry tailwinds support this outlook.