Should I Buy TFPM? TFPM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

37.400

1 Day change

-5.22%

52 Week Range

40.290

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock has strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and a bullish technical setup. The pre-market price increase of 4.60% and the positive catalysts surrounding gold prices further support the decision to buy.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish technical indicators. The MACD is positive and contracting, RSI is neutral at 70.115, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The pre-market price of $40.22 is above the key resistance level R1 ($39.081) and approaching R2 ($40.257), indicating strong upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market. Implied volatility is at 40.21, with an IV percentile of 64.8, suggesting moderately high demand for options.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Strong financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue up 26.86% YoY, net income up 108.83% YoY, and EPS up 100% YoY.
Positive analyst sentiment, with recent price target increases from BofA ($
and Canaccord (C$56).
Gold price macro drivers have intensified, supporting the precious metals sector.
Pre-market price increase of 4.60%, signaling strong investor interest.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Analyst sentiment includes a Hold rating from Canaccord, indicating some caution.
No significant hedge fund or insider trading trends, suggesting a lack of strong institutional conviction.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Triple Flag reported robust financials: Revenue increased by 26.86% YoY to $93.46M, net income surged by 108.83% YoY to $61.92M, EPS doubled to $0.30, and gross margin improved significantly to 68.54%. This demonstrates strong operational efficiency and profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are positive overall. BofA raised its price target to $43 and maintains a Buy rating, citing strong capital returns and favorable gold price trends. Canaccord raised its price target to C$56 but kept a Hold rating. Scotiabank lowered its target to $34 but remains neutral with a Sector Perform rating. The consensus reflects optimism with some caution.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TFPM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TFPM is 37.63 USD with a low forecast of 31 USD and a high forecast of 47.55 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

3 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 39.460

Low

Averages

37.63

High

47.55

Current: 39.460

Low

Averages

37.63

High

47.55

Scotiabank

Tanya Jakusconek

Sector Perform

maintain

$34 -> $43

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

Reason

Scotiabank

Tanya Jakusconek

Price Target

$34 -> $43

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

maintain

Sector Perform

Reason

Scotiabank analyst Tanya Jakusconek raised the firm's price target on Triple Flag to $43 from $34 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Gold & Precious Minerals stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm has increased both gold and silver forecasts, supported by economic and geopolitical uncertainty as well as strong central bank buying.

Canaccord

Hold

maintain

$50 -> $56

2026-01-23

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

$50 -> $56

2026-01-23

maintain

Hold

Reason

Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Triple Flag to C$56 from C$50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.

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TFPM Should I Buy

TFPM Should I Buy

Should You Buy Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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