TFPM Should I Buy
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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock has strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and a favorable SwingMax signal. Additionally, the options data and technical indicators suggest potential upside in the medium to long term.
The MACD histogram is negative but contracting, indicating potential for reversal. RSI is neutral at 29.904, and moving averages are converging, suggesting consolidation. Key support is at 30.766, and resistance is at 33.542. The stock is trading close to support levels, which may present a good entry point.
Strong financial performance in Q4 2025 with revenue up 60.24% YoY, net income up 86.12% YoY, and EPS up 85.00% YoY. Analysts have consistently raised price targets, with BofA, Stifel, and CIBC projecting significant upside. SwingMax signal indicates a buy opportunity. The stock has a 70% chance of gaining 6.32% in the next week and 8.03% in the next month.
The MACD is still below 0, indicating a bearish trend. No significant hedge fund or insider activity. No recent news or congress trading data to act as additional catalysts.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased to $118.92M (up 60.24% YoY), net income rose to $76.83M (up 86.12% YoY), EPS increased to $0.37 (up 85.00% YoY), and gross margin improved to 72.82% (up 16.51% YoY).
Analysts are bullish on TFPM, with multiple firms raising price targets. BofA recently raised its target to $49, citing strong Q4 results and guidance. Stifel, CIBC, and Scotiabank have also raised targets, with CIBC projecting C$74. Analysts highlight increased gold price forecasts and geopolitical uncertainty as key drivers.
