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TFPM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
36.150
1 Day change
-0.58%
52 Week Range
41.700
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, consistent analyst upgrades with higher price targets, and bullish technical indicators support this conclusion. While there are no recent news or congress trading data, the overall sentiment and growth outlook for the company remain positive.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bullish. The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating upward momentum. The RSI is neutral at 51.761, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 35.559, with resistance levels at 36.861 and 37.666, and support levels at 34.256 and 33.451.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, with more interest in calls than puts. Implied volatility is moderate, with an IV percentile of 65.2, suggesting the stock is not overly volatile.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 60.24% YoY, net income up 86.12% YoY, and EPS up 85.00% YoY.

  • Consistent analyst upgrades with higher price targets, reflecting confidence in the company's growth potential.

  • Bullish technical indicators and positive sentiment in the options market.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Lack of recent news or event-driven catalysts.

  • Neutral trading sentiment from hedge funds and insiders, indicating no significant activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company demonstrated strong growth with revenue increasing to $118.92M (up 60.24% YoY), net income rising to $76.83M (up 86.12% YoY), EPS increasing to $0.37 (up 85.00% YoY), and gross margin improving to 72.82% (up 16.51% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on TFPM. Recent upgrades include BofA raising the price target to $49 from $46, Stifel raising it to C$65 from C$58, and CIBC raising it to C$74 from C$66. Analysts cite increased gold price forecasts, geopolitical uncertainty, and strong central bank buying as key drivers for the upgrades.

Wall Street analysts forecast TFPM stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TFPM stock price to rise
3 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 36.360
sliders
Low
31
Averages
37.63
High
47.55
Current: 36.360
sliders
Low
31
Averages
37.63
High
47.55
BofA
Buy
maintain
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Triple Flag to $49 from $46 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated its model for the royalty/streaming company post Q4 results and guidance.
BofA
Lawson Winder
Buy
maintain
$44 -> $46
2026-02-26
Reason
BofA
Lawson Winder
Price Target
$44 -> $46
2026-02-26
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Lawson Winder raised the firm's price target on Triple Flag to $46 from $44 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for North American Metals & Mining stocks under its coverage after updating forecasts for metal prices in 2026, the analyst tells investors.
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