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TFIN Earnings

Triumph Financial Inc
$
54.170
+2.82(5.492%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Triumph Financial Inc(TFIN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Triumph Financial Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-07-16After Hours0.040.15+275.00105.10M108.06M+2.82-2.50-1.60
FY2025Q12025-04-16After Hours0.060.04-33.33104.54M101.57M-2.83-2.66-0.90
FY2024Q42025-01-22After Hours0.260.13-50.00108.45M103.56M-4.51-14.25-15.89
FY2024Q32024-10-16After Hours0.170.19+11.76107.21M106.20M-0.95+4.81+6.80
FY2024Q22024-07-17-0.210.08-61.90104.08M105.08M+0.97-0.56-5.51
FY2024Q12024-04-17-0.320.14-56.25106.01M101.03M-4.69-1.61-5.92
FY2023Q42024-01-23-0.410.37-9.76106.92M106.15M-0.72-1.81-6.49
FY2023Q32023-10-19-0.370.51+37.84107.04M104.74M-2.15-4.12-0.69
-2023-07-20-0.410.29-29.27----0.40+5.40
-2023-04-25-0.470.43-8.51----1.70-2.25

TFIN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Triumph Financial Inc reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-07-16. The company achieved an EPS of 0.15, compared to analyst estimates of 0.04 by 275.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 108.06M compared to expectations of 105.10M by 2.82% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.50% one-day change and a -1.60% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Triumph Financial Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TFIN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Triumph Financial Inc(TFIN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 111.36M and an EPS of 0.12.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by -0%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -32.1%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.31% . These revisions correlate with a -13.24% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Triumph Financial Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TFIN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-32.1%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Downward
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-0.31%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-13.24%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:435.42M
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.48
Stock Price54.17

TFIN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Triumph Financial Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-16,After Hours):
EPS: 0.15 (Actual) vs.0.04 (Estimate) (275.00%)
Revenue: 108.06M (Actual) vs. 105.10M (Estimate) (2.82%)
Price Reaction: -2.50%(1-Day), -1.60%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-16,After Hours):
EPS: 0.04 (Actual) vs.0.06 (Estimate) (-33.33%)
Revenue: 101.57M (Actual) vs. 104.54M (Estimate) (-2.83%)
Price Reaction: -2.66%(1-Day), -0.90%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-22,After Hours):
EPS: 0.13 (Actual) vs.0.26 (Estimate) (-50.00%)
Revenue: 103.56M (Actual) vs. 108.45M (Estimate) (-4.51%)
Price Reaction: -14.25%(1-Day), -15.89%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TFIN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TFIN sees a -0.51% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.80% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.68%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed -2.50% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -8.68% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-17
Triumph's earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with revenue growth in transportation and improved credit quality. The Greenscreens acquisition shows promising integration results, and the company is expanding its payment and factoring services. Despite some competitive pressures and uncertainties, EBITDA margins and revenue are expected to improve. The market cap indicates a moderate reaction. Overall, the positive financial outlook, strategic acquisitions, and growth potential in supply chain financing suggest a positive sentiment, likely leading to a 2% to 8% increase in stock price.
Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-18
The earnings call summary reflects a positive outlook, with improved credit quality, strategic investments for growth, and a 10% YoY revenue increase despite market headwinds. The Q&A section highlights confidence in revenue opportunities from Load Pay and Green Screens, although management was vague on specifics. No shareholder return details were discussed. Overall, the positive financial performance and strategic growth initiatives outweigh the risks, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks, especially given the company's small market cap.
Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-17
Despite improvements in credit quality and investments for growth, Triumph faces challenges in the transportation market. The lack of clear guidance on future revenue and vague responses about Greenscreens in the Q&A add uncertainty. While there's optimism in revenue growth from Payments and Factoring, the market conditions and potential economic risks temper positive sentiment. Given the company's small-cap status, a neutral stock price movement is expected as the positive and negative factors counterbalance each other.
Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-17
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. While there are positive elements like the acquisition of Green Screens, expected revenue growth, and improved credit quality, there are also significant risks due to economic uncertainty, market conditions, and regulatory issues. The Q&A session revealed management's vague responses on revenue guidance and financial impacts, which adds to uncertainty. The decision to invest in Green Screens over share buybacks suggests a long-term focus, but may not immediately boost stock price. Given the company's market cap, these mixed signals are likely to result in a neutral stock price movement.
Earnings call transcript: Triumph Bancorp misses Q4 2024 earnings expectations
Positive
2025-01-23
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth in TriumphPay and a strategic partnership with C.H. Robinson. Despite some risks, such as regulatory compliance and technological adaptation, the company's focus on technology integration and market expansion is promising. The Q&A section highlights management's optimism and strategic initiatives, though some responses were vague. The shareholder return plan and revenue growth expectations, particularly in the Load Pay program, are positive indicators. Given the company's market cap, the stock is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8%.
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-18
The earnings call summary and Q&A reflect a positive sentiment overall. Financial performance shows growth in revenue, net income, and operating margin, indicating strong financial health. Product development and partnerships, like with C.H. Robinson, are promising. Although the freight market is challenging, long-term recovery is anticipated, and strategic investments in AI and machine learning are positive. The lack of specific shareholder return plans is a minor negative. Considering the market cap, the stock price is likely to see a positive movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Triumph Financial, Inc. (TFIN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-19
The earnings call highlights several concerns: earnings are under pressure, market execution challenges, competitive pressures, and regulatory issues. The lack of a share repurchase or dividend program further dampens sentiment. While there is potential for growth in network density and the C.H. Robinson deal, the Q&A session reveals uncertainties about revenue acceleration and monetization. The company's focus on long-term growth at the expense of short-term performance, combined with the lack of clear guidance on key financial metrics, suggests a negative market reaction, especially given the company's $1.8 billion market cap.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TFIN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

TFIN reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-07-16, showcasing a revenue of 108.06M against an estimate of 105.10M, resulting in a 2.82% surprise. The EPS was 0.15, surpassing the expected 0.04 by 275% . The stock experienced a -2.5% price change on the earnings day and a -1.6% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TFIN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TFIN for 2025/Q3?

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How does TFIN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from TFIN’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Triumph Financial Inc (TFIN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?