The chart below shows how ZGN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ZGN sees a +2.89% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.11% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.13%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Revenue Growth Analysis: Q4 2024 revenue grew by 3%, both organic and reported, driven by a 7% organic growth in the Zegna brand and an 8% organic growth in the direct-to-consumer channel at the group level.
North America Organic Growth: North America delivered a remarkable 15% organic growth in Q4, significantly outperforming the group average, with strong contributions from the Zegna brand.
Direct-to-Consumer Revenue Growth: The Zegna brand's direct-to-consumer revenues increased by 9% organic in Q4, with double-digit growth reported in the Americas, Europe, and the Middle East.
EMEA Region Organic Growth: The EMEA region recorded a 5% organic growth in Q4, bolstered by double-digit growth at the Zegna brand and Comfort Fashion, despite challenges faced by Thom Browne.
Comfort Fashion B2C Growth: The Comfort Fashion segment achieved a 9% organic growth in the B2C channel in Q4, with strong double-digit growth in EMEA and solid performance in the U.S.
Negative
Segment Revenue Decline: Thom Browne segment revenues declined by 4% in Q4, indicating ongoing challenges in transitioning to a DTC-driven model despite some improvements in the trajectory compared to earlier quarters.
Textile Revenue Decline: Textile product line revenues fell by 13% organic in Q4, consistent with Q3 performance, primarily due to decreased demand from luxury goods brands outside the group.
Greater China Revenue Decline: Greater China region revenues dropped by 11% in Q4, a significant decline from the previous year's performance, reflecting ongoing market volatility and uncertainty.
Wholesale Revenue Decline: Wholesale revenues across all brands decreased by 7% in Q4, driven by a decline in demand and the conversion of some wholesale stores to retail, indicating challenges in the wholesale channel.
Brand-Dependent Revenue Growth: Despite a 3% overall revenue growth in Q4, the performance was heavily reliant on specific brands, with the overall market sentiment remaining uncertain and challenging.
Earnings call transcript: Zegna's Q4 2024 revenue up 3%, eyes China cautiously
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