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VSEC Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of VSE Corp(VSEC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of VSE Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-27After Hours0.840.99+17.86276.25M282.91M+2.41+1.79+0.65
FY2025Q22025-07-30After Hours0.690.97+40.58261.86M272.14M+3.93+10.64+12.01
FY2025Q12025-05-06After Hours0.550.78+41.82246.83M256.05M+3.73+7.81+11.33
FY2024Q42025-02-26After Hours0.730.90+23.29290.41M299.02M+2.96+16.65+16.98
FY2024Q32024-11-06-0.630.71+12.70270.91M273.61M+1.00+9.66+14.08
FY2024Q22024-07-31-0.650.64-1.54256.40M265.96M+3.73+2.17-8.07
FY2024Q12024-05-08-0.750.87+16.00236.49M241.54M+2.13+0.46-12.32
FY2023Q32023-11-01-0.760.92+21.05219.54M231.35M+5.38+0.48+7.71
FY2023Q22023-07-26-0.740.82+10.81204.19M205.22M+0.51+0.58+2.58
-2023-05-01-0.560.83+48.21---+1.63+13.34
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VSEC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, VSE Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-27. The company achieved an EPS of 0.99, compared to analyst estimates of 0.84 by 17.86% . Revenue for the quarter reached 282.91M compared to expectations of 276.25M by 2.41% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.79% one-day change and a 0.65% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in VSE Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

VSEC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, VSE Corp(VSEC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 282.49M and an EPS of 0.81.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.29%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 3.45%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.73% . These revisions correlate with a 3.03% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in VSE Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between VSEC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.29%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+3.45%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.73%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+3.03%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.09B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.59
—
Stock Price171.28
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VSEC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

VSE Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-27,After Hours):
EPS: 0.99 (Actual) vs.0.84 (Estimate) (17.86%)
Revenue: 282.91M (Actual) vs. 276.25M (Estimate) (2.41%)
Price Reaction: 1.79%(1-Day), 0.65%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-30,After Hours):
EPS: 0.97 (Actual) vs.0.69 (Estimate) (40.58%)
Revenue: 272.14M (Actual) vs. 261.86M (Estimate) (3.93%)
Price Reaction: 10.64%(1-Day), 12.01%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.78 (Actual) vs.0.55 (Estimate) (41.82%)
Revenue: 256.05M (Actual) vs. 246.83M (Estimate) (3.73%)
Price Reaction: 7.81%(1-Day), 11.33%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how VSEC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, VSEC sees a -4.14% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +5.89% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.41%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.79% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.00% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

VSE Corp (VSEC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-27
The company's strong financial performance, including a 39% revenue increase and a 58% rise in adjusted EBITDA, coupled with optimistic guidance and synergy capture ahead of expectations, suggests a positive stock reaction. However, risks from the Aero 3 acquisition and integration challenges could temper enthusiasm. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, leading to a predicted positive stock movement of 2% to 8%.
VSE Corp (VSEC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-01
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, positive guidance, and strategic initiatives such as acquisitions and partnerships, which are likely to enhance growth. The reaffirmed revenue and margin guidance, alongside the successful integration of acquisitions, signal a positive outlook. The Q&A section supports this sentiment with positive analyst reactions and insights into sustainable cash flow and margin improvements. Although some uncertainties remain, the overall sentiment is positive, predicting a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks for this small-cap stock.
VSE Corp (VSEC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, a successful divestiture, and optimistic guidance. The strategic acquisition and cost synergies also add value. Despite some concerns in the Q&A about integration timelines and economic sensitivity, the overall sentiment remains positive. The company's market cap suggests moderate stock price movement, leading to a prediction of a 2% to 8% increase in the stock price over the next two weeks.
VSE Corp (VSEC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-03
The earnings call indicates strong growth in aviation revenue and adjusted EBITDA, despite a decline in fleet revenue. Record high revenue and a positive outlook on aviation growth are strong catalysts. The Q&A section highlights balanced growth across sectors and optimism about future synergies, despite some lack of clarity on margins. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity, leading to a positive prediction.
VSE Corp (VSEC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-28
The earnings call highlights strong aviation revenue growth and improved EBITDA, despite fleet revenue decline. Management's optimistic guidance and strategic partnerships, like with Kellstrom, indicate potential future growth. The Q&A reveals confidence in growth opportunities and market outperformance. However, the lack of clarity on some future financial specifics and trapped costs slightly tempers the outlook. Given the company's small-cap status, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% in the coming weeks.
VSE Corporation (VSEC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-04
The earnings call presents mixed signals: strong aviation revenue growth and optimistic guidance for the second half, but challenges in fleet revenue and declining USPS sales. The Q&A reveals management's evasiveness on cash flow specifics and TCI's impact. The follow-on equity offering and Fleet segment struggles weigh negatively, while record high aviation revenue and strategic partnerships offer positives. Given the company's market cap of approximately $1.6 billion, the stock is likely to react moderately, resulting in a neutral prediction of -2% to 2%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of VSEC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

VSEC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-27, showcasing a revenue of 282.91M against an estimate of 276.25M, resulting in a 2.41% surprise. The EPS was 0.99, surpassing the expected 0.84 by 17.86% . The stock experienced a 1.79% price change on the earnings day and a 0.65% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did VSEC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following VSEC’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-27, the stock price moved by 1.79% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.65% change. Historically, VSEC’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -4.14% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +5.89% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for VSEC for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate VSEC’s annual revenue to reach 282.49M, while the EPS is projected at 0.81. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.29% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.73% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does VSEC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between VSEC’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.29%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.73% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from VSEC’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, VSEC’s stock price typically moves by -4.14% in the 10 days before its earnings and +5.89% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.81 and revenue of 282.49M.
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What is the sentiment in VSE Corp (VSEC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The company's strong financial performance, including a 39% revenue increase and a 58% rise in adjusted EBITDA, coupled with optimistic guidance and synergy capture ahead of expectations, suggests a positive stock reaction. However, risks from the Aero 3 acquisition and integration challenges could temper enthusiasm. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity, leading to a predicted positive stock movement of 2% to 8%.
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