TFII Should I Buy
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TFI International Inc (TFII) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock is currently oversold based on RSI, but the negative financial performance, weak short-term technical indicators, and lack of strong positive catalysts suggest holding off on investment until clearer signs of recovery emerge.
The stock is currently in an oversold condition with an RSI of 9.274. The MACD histogram is negative at -1.85, indicating bearish momentum, though it is contracting. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in price trends. Key support is at 99.064, with resistance at 112.51. The pre-market price of 98.75 is hovering near support, indicating potential downside risk.
Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity, with a 2038% increase in the last quarter. Analysts from Citi, Goldman Sachs, and RBC Capital have raised their price targets, citing potential upside from freight recovery and operational improvements.
Q4 financial performance was weak, with revenue, net income, and EPS all declining YoY. The freight cycle recovery is still uncertain, and Q1 guidance has been described as conservative or underwhelming by multiple analysts. No recent news or congress trading data to provide additional support.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -7.84% YoY to $1.91 billion, net income dropped by -14.58% YoY to $71.65 million, and EPS fell by -11.22% YoY to $0.87. Gross margin slightly decreased to 42.55%. Overall, financials indicate a challenging environment with declining profitability.
Analyst sentiment is mixed but leans positive. Several firms, including Citi, Goldman Sachs, and RBC Capital, have raised their price targets, citing potential upside from freight recovery and operational improvements. However, some analysts, like Stephens, remain cautious due to underwhelming Q1 guidance and the need for more operational improvement.
