Should I Buy Telefonica SA Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TEF has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
TEF stock price ended at $4.91 on Friday, after rising 1.87%
The Telefonica SA stock price increased by 1.87% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 4.88 to 4.91. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.03% , ranging from a day low of $4.87 to a day high of 4.92. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.77% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 237.22K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 881.99K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.32M.
TEF Technical Signals
TEF(Telefonica SA Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-21. The total price change during this trend is -1.79%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of TEF over the last 5 trading days is 4.21M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
TEF Moving Average Analysis
Telefonica SA's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $5.16, and $5.43. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.29, and $4.03. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TEF Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Telefonica SA(TEF) as of 12 May 2025 is %, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 4.98 to 4.84.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.26
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.47
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.1
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
84.15
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
102.57
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-14.63
Bearish
TEF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Telefonica SA(TEF), our algorithm predicts TEF's 1-month price at $4.29, with an -12.66%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.92%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Telefonica SA (TEF.N) stock, as of Sunday, April 20, 2025 , forecasts a -12.66% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with DBVT.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.92%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
TEF
No Data
DBVT
Down: -12.66%Similarity: 90.92%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
DBVT.O
90.92%
-12.66%
TEF Seasonality Analysis
Based on TEF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in TEF. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at81.82%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Telefonica SA (TEF.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (81.82%), while December has the lowest probability (10.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Telefonica SA. (TEF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Telefonica SA (TEF.N) stock?
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