TEF Earnings

TEF reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 9.00B against an estimate of 9.00B, resulting in a -0.29% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.09 by 0% . The stock experienced a -13.5% price change on the earnings day and a -14.93% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following TEF's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by -13.50% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -14.93% change. Historically, TEF's stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.25% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.89% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q1, analysts estimate TEF’s annual revenue to reach 10.00B, while the EPS is projected at undefined. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.56% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between TEF's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.56%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, TEF's stock price typically moves by +1.25% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.89% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of undefined and revenue of 10.00B.

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While revenue and EBITDA show growth, free cash flow is negative, and debt levels remain high. The strategic focus on core markets and digital services is positive, but market dynamics and operational risks, particularly in Hispam, pose challenges. The Q&A reveals management's cautious approach and lack of concrete guidance on capital allocation and strategic changes, contributing to uncertainty. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable, with minor fluctuations within the neutral range.