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TCBK Should I Buy

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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
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0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close
0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Trico Bancshares (TCBK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
51.920
1 Day change
-1.37%
52 Week Range
53.180
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/12
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

TCBK is not a strong buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000, but it is a reasonably constructive hold. The stock is in a bullish technical setup and pre-market price is already near resistance, so it is not an attractive rush-in buy at this level. With no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal, and with options sentiment strongly skewed toward puts, I would not classify this as a clear buy today.

Technical Analysis

Technically, TCBK is in an uptrend. MACD histogram is positive and expanding, which supports upside momentum. The moving averages are bullish with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, confirming short-, medium-, and long-term trend strength. RSI_6 at 66.145 is elevated but not overbought enough to force a sell signal. The pre-market price of 52.04 is just below first resistance at 52.222, with pivot support at 50.889. That means the stock is close to a near-term breakout zone, but also close enough to resistance that the current entry is not ideal for an impatient buyer.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bearish-to-cautious. The open interest put-call ratio of 64.0 is extremely put-heavy, suggesting traders are positioning defensively. Implied volatility at 65.89 and IV percentile at 97.22 indicate options are expensive relative to recent history, which often reflects elevated uncertainty or event positioning. Volume is effectively zero today, so there is no strong confirmation from active trading flow. Overall, options data does not support a strong bullish buy call.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • ["Bullish price structure with MACD expanding above zero", "SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 indicates a healthy multi-timeframe uptrend", "Analyst sentiment remains positive with Piper Sandler reiterating Overweight and raising the target to $63 from $59", "Piper Sandler cited better-than-expected PPNR, net interest margin expansion, and tighter expense controls as supportive fundamentals", "The stock pattern data suggests a favorable short-term drift probability"]

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • ["Options positioning is heavily put-skewed with a very high put-call open interest ratio", "Implied volatility is elevated and near the top of its historical range", "No AI Stock Picker or SwingMax signal is present today", "Hedge funds and insiders are both neutral, with no meaningful accumulation signal", "The current pre-market price is near resistance, reducing immediate upside entry attractiveness"]

Financial Performance

No full financial snapshot was available, so the latest quarter cannot be assessed in detail. However, the analyst commentary indicates operating EPS beat expectations by 5% in the first wave of Q1 earnings across the coverage group, with median EPS up 23% year-over-year. Piper Sandler also highlighted stronger PPNR, better net interest margin expansion, and tighter expense control, which are constructive growth and profitability signals for the latest quarter season.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst trend is positive. Piper Sandler raised its price target on TCBK to $63 from $59 and kept an Overweight rating. The pros view is that earnings quality is improving, margin expansion is helping, and expense discipline is strong. The cons view is that loan growth was softer in a seasonally difficult quarter, so the upside story is more about operational execution than broad acceleration in demand.

Wall Street analysts forecast TCBK stock price to fall
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TCBK stock price to fall
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 52.640
sliders
Low
46
Averages
50
High
57
Current: 52.640
sliders
Low
46
Averages
50
High
57
Piper Sandler
Overweight
maintain
$59 -> $63
AI Analysis
2026-04-27
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$59 -> $63
AI Analysis
2026-04-27
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on TriCo Bancshares to $63 from $59 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. After the first wave of Q1 earnings across the firm's Western bank coverage, operating EPS exceeded expectations by 5% with the median EPS up 23% year-over-year. Piper notes stronger than expected PPNR has been a common theme driven by better net interest margin expansion and tighter expense controls, partially offset by softer loan growth in a seasonally difficult quarter.
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Overweight
maintain
$54 -> $55
2026-01-26
Reason
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Price Target
$54 -> $55
2026-01-26
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Stephens analyst Andrew Terrell raised the firm's price target on TriCo Bancshares to $55 from $54 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Following the bank's Q4 report, the firm says it continues to expect TriCo is "a near-term buyer amongst our coverage." However, should M&A not come to fruition in the first half of 2026, the firm thinks "a takeout thesis could become more likely as the year progresses," the analyst tells investors.
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