TAP Valuation

Molson Coors Beverage Co

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52.810

+1.07(2.068%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

TAP Relative Valuation

TAP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, TAP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 9.28 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 11.30. The fair price of Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) is between 56.70 to 71.54 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 52.81 USD , Molson Coors Beverage Co is Undervalued By 6.86%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

56.70-71.54

Current Price：52.81

6.86%

Undervalued

9.28

Trailing

Forward

7.07

EV/EBITDA

Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.07. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.58, Undervalued between 6.58 and 7.35, Fairly Valued between 8.89 and 7.35, Overvalued between 8.89 and 9.66, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.66. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.07 falls within the Undervalued range.

10.09

EV/EBIT

Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.09. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.60, Undervalued between 8.60 and 10.37, Fairly Valued between 13.90 and 10.37, Overvalued between 13.90 and 15.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.67. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.09 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.90

Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) has a current PS of 0.90. The 5-year average PS is 1.04. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.82, Undervalued between 0.82 and 0.93, Fairly Valued between 1.15 and 0.93, Overvalued between 1.15 and 1.25, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.25. The current Forward PS of 0.90 falls within the Undervalued range.

5.29

P/OCF

Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) has a current P/OCF of 5.29. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.67. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.74, Undervalued between 3.74 and 4.70, Fairly Valued between 6.63 and 4.70, Overvalued between 6.63 and 7.60, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.60. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.29 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.94

P/FCF

Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) has a current P/FCF of 7.94. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.56. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.43, Undervalued between 6.43 and 7.99, Fairly Valued between 11.12 and 7.99, Overvalued between 11.12 and 12.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.68. The current Forward P/FCF of 7.94 falls within the Undervalued range.

Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.93 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -18.27% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.88, the current P/B ratio is about -13.72% higher. Molson Coors Beverage Co (TAP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 9.46%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 9.45%, the current FCF yield is approximately 0.11% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 9.95% , the current FCF yield is about -4.85% lower.

0.76

P/B

Median3y

0.93

Median5y

0.88

9.46

FCF Yield

Median3y

9.45

Median5y

9.95

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for TAP's competitors is 0.71, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Molson Coors Beverage Co Corp (TAP) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.90, which is 27.28% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -1.58%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

TAP.N

Molson Coors Beverage Co

Boston Beer Company Inc

Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

Innovation Beverage Group Ltd

0.82

5.28M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of TAP decreased by 1.44% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 13.08 to 13.26.

The secondary factor is the P/E Change, contributed -1.24%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of TAP in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-1.58%

3.25B → 3.20B

Revenue Growth

1.38%

13.08 → 13.26

Margin Expansion

-1.24%

10.36 → 10.23

P/E Change

-1.44%