TAK Stock Price Prediction

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd

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14.800

+0.210(+1.440%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TAK has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

TAK stock price ended at $14.8 on Thursday, after rising 1.44%

The Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock price increased by 1.44% on the last trading day (29 May 2025), rising from 14.6 to 14.8. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.54% , ranging from a day low of $14.575 to a day high of 14.8. The price has declined in 1 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 7.95% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.11M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.50M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 36.98M.

TAK Technical Signals

TAK(Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-05. The total price change during this trend is -3.77%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of TAK over the last 5 trading days is 29.29M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

TAK Moving Average Analysis

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 30, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $14.9361, and $15.299. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $13.761899999999997, and $13.398999999999997. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TAK Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK) as of 27 May 2025 is 17.42%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 14.57 to 14.67. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.09

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

14.8

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

83.533

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.0494

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.0473

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

96.993

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

Bearish

TAK Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK), our algorithm predicts TAK's 1-month price at $12.38, with an -12.26%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.60%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -12.26% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RRX.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.6%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TAK

Future prediction

Up: -12.26%

RRX

Down: -12.26%Similarity: 94.6%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

RRX.N

94.60%

-12.26%

HPE.N

94.24%

+21.39%

SAGE.O

94.18%

+9.95%

ITRN.O

94.16%

-5.19%

ORC.N

94.14%

+13.31%

KELYA.O

93.98%

+1.60%

FSM.N

93.91%

+7.94%

CERS.O

93.89%

-15.90%

DEC.N

93.87%

+23.84%

IDXX.O

93.76%

-8.45%

TAK Seasonality Analysis

Based on TAK's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in TAK. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while June has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd. (TAK)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.