TAK Stock Price Prediction

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd

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14.360

+0.090(+0.630%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TAK has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

TAK stock price ended at $14.36 on Friday, after rising 0.63%

The Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock price increased by 0.63% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 14.5 to 14.36. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.64% , ranging from a day low of $14.34 to a day high of 14.575. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -4.46% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 1.25M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 4.35M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 62.68M.

TAK Technical Signals

TAK(Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd Corp) has 4 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-05. The total price change during this trend is -6.63%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of TAK over the last 5 trading days is 39.20M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

TAK Moving Average Analysis

Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Sunday, May 11, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.638446666666669, and $16.10066666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.142886666666667, and $13.680666666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TAK Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK) as of 09 May 2025 is 28.96%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 14.27 to 14.36. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.106

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0147

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

2.66

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-88.017

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.67

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA

Bearish

TAK Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd(TAK), our algorithm predicts TAK's 1-month price at $13.42, with an -6.57%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.30%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -6.57% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IRM.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.3%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TAK

Future prediction

Up: -6.57%

IRM

Down: -6.57%Similarity: 92.3%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

IRM.N

92.30%

-6.57%

LEE.O

91.87%

-6.82%

DEC.N

91.85%

+14.39%

OXSQ.O

91.50%

+16.54%

PSNY.O

91.41%

-11.49%

AOSL.O

91.19%

+9.17%

CTRA.N

91.19%

-2.79%

PFLT.N

91.03%

+27.61%

STE.N

91.01%

+7.49%

SBS.N

90.95%

+0.69%

TAK Seasonality Analysis

Based on TAK's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in TAK. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (TAK.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while June has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd. (TAK)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.