Should I Buy TransAlta Corp Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TAC has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
TAC stock price ended at $11.09 on Friday, after losing -2.8%
The TransAlta Corp stock price decreased by -2.8% on the last trading day (13 Jun 2025), dropping from 11.21 to 11.09. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.53% , ranging from a day low of $10.895 to a day high of 11.28. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 13.63% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -956.10K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.59M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 28.84M.
TAC Technical Signals
TAC(TransAlta Corp Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-22. The total price change during this trend is +23.91%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of TAC over the last 5 trading days is 28.91M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
TAC Moving Average Analysis
TransAlta Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, June 14, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.706019999999999, and $12.427999999999999. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $9.369979999999998, and $8.647999999999998. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TAC Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of TransAlta Corp(TAC) as of 09 Jun 2025 is 5.31%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 10.36 to 10.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.217
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.33
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.489
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
71.127
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
87.917
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
136.122
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
82.686
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-17.797
Bearish
TAC Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to TransAlta Corp(TAC), our algorithm predicts TAC's 1-month price at $9.95, with an -3.93%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.07%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for TransAlta Corp (TAC.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 8, 2025 , forecasts a -3.93% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SEIC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.07%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
TAC
No Data
SEIC
Down: -3.93%Similarity: 97.07%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
SEIC.O
97.07%
-3.93%
KO.N
97.02%
-1.19%
SPCB.O
96.94%
+2.72%
AMN.N
96.91%
-4.25%
ARKO.O
96.83%
-3.18%
PCTY.O
96.80%
+8.30%
RICK.O
96.77%
-9.21%
NTIC.O
96.71%
-8.08%
MT.N
96.70%
-2.15%
V.N
96.66%
-5.67%
TAC Seasonality Analysis
Based on TAC's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is46.67%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in TAC. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at75.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying TransAlta Corp (TAC.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (75.00%), while October has the lowest probability (14.29%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows TransAlta Corp. (TAC)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy TransAlta Corp (TAC.N) stock?
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Is TAC a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
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