Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of TransAlta Corp(TAC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of TransAlta Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: CAD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-11-06 | Pre-Market | 0.06 | -0.01 | -116.67 | 550.96M | 446.60M | -18.94 | -11.44 | -7.94 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-08-01 | Pre-Market | 0.07 | 0.13 | +85.71 | 491.25M | 312.94M | -36.30 | +2.66 | +1.00 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-05-07 | Pre-Market | 0.09 | 0.07 | -22.22 | 584.79M | 527.99M | -9.71 | -5.96 | -1.77 |
| FY2024Q4 | 2025-02-20 | Pre-Market | 0.05 | -0.16 | -420.00 | 538.93M | 484.60M | -10.08 | +6.82 | +1.70 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-11-05 | Pre-Market | 0.13 | -0.09 | -169.23 | 533.12M | 467.70M | -12.27 | +7.58 | -2.53 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-08-01 | - | 0.05 | 0.13 | +160.00 | 619.32M | - | - | +8.09 | +7.69 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-05-03 | - | 0.13 | 0.53 | +307.69 | 993.89M | - | - | +4.74 | +6.96 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2024-02-23 | - | 0.13 | -0.20 | -253.85 | 414.13M | 624.00M | +50.68 | +4.86 | -1.09 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-11-07 | - | 0.32 | 0.89 | +178.13 | 621.98M | 1.02B | +63.51 | +2.05 | +3.98 |
| FY2023Q2 | 2023-08-04 | - | 0.03 | 0.17 | +466.67 | 538.18M | 625.00M | +16.13 | +1.71 | +4.22 |
TAC Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, TransAlta Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of -0.01, compared to analyst estimates of 0.06 by -116.67% . Revenue for the quarter reached 446.60M compared to expectations of 550.96M by -18.94% .
The stock price reacted with a -11.44% one-day change and a -7.94% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in TransAlta Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
TAC Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, TransAlta Corp(TAC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 550.96M and an EPS of 0.07.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 2.25%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -38.83%. For the upcoming , revenue estimates have been adjusted Go Up by 16.12% . These revisions correlate with a % change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in TransAlta Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between TAC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+2.25%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-38.83%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+16.12%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.66B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.23
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Stock Price14.26
TAC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
TransAlta Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.01 (Actual) vs.0.06 (Estimate) (-116.67%)
Revenue: 446.60M (Actual) vs. 550.96M (Estimate) (-18.94%)
Price Reaction: -11.44%(1-Day), -7.94%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.13 (Actual) vs.0.07 (Estimate) (85.71%)
Revenue: 312.94M (Actual) vs. 491.25M (Estimate) (-36.30%)
Price Reaction: 2.66%(1-Day), 1.00%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.07 (Actual) vs.0.09 (Estimate) (-22.22%)
Revenue: 527.99M (Actual) vs. 584.79M (Estimate) (-9.71%)
Price Reaction: -5.96%(1-Day), -1.77%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TAC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TAC sees a -2.44% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.74% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 3.82% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -7.36% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
TransAlta Corp (TAC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-01
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal several positive aspects: a strategic partnership with Nova Clean Energy, a strong financial position with a $450 million green note offering, and an 8% dividend increase. The company is also confident in its 2025 EBITDA and free cash flow guidance. However, there are concerns about project timelines and management's evasive responses in the Q&A, which slightly temper the overall sentiment. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors, leading to a 'Positive' rating.
TransAlta Corp (TAC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While there are positive elements like an 8% dividend increase and a strong liquidity position, the financial performance shows a significant decline in Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow, mainly due to lower power prices. The Q&A reveals management's focus on M&A over new projects, but uncertainties around regulatory impacts remain. Overall, the market may react neutrally to these mixed factors, especially given the company's mid-cap status.
TransAlta Corporation (TAC) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-05
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: significant spot price declines and economic risks in Alberta negatively impact financial performance, but proactive hedging and a strong share repurchase program offer some positives. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties, particularly around emissions and data center opportunities, which could weigh on investor sentiment. The company's market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positive shareholder returns and liquidity are offset by market volatility and unclear management responses.
TransAlta Corporation (TAC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with increased EBITDA and free cash flow, despite a challenging pricing environment. The share repurchase program is progressing well, enhancing shareholder value. The Q&A section shows confidence in future opportunities, particularly in renewables and capital recycling, although management was vague on some specifics. Overall, with a market cap of $2.1 billion, the positive financial metrics and strategic initiatives are likely to result in a positive stock price movement in the short term.
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FAQ
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