SPSC Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how SPSC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SPSC sees a +2.34% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.82% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.06%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
SPSC Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
170.91M
17.90%
4.41%
Gross Margin
62.88%
0.26%
-2.53%
Operating Margin
14.48%
-8.30%
-7.30%
Net Margin
10.27%
-21.66%
-28.33%
EPS
0.46
-8.00%
-25.81%
No Data Available
SPSC Earnings Analysis
SPS Commerce Inc Corporation (SPSC.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
2024 Revenue Growth: Revenue for the full year 2024 grew 19% to $637,800,000, with recurring revenue increasing by 20%.
EBITDA Growth Performance: Adjusted EBITDA for the year increased by 18% to $186,600,000, reflecting strong operational performance.
Customer Growth Surge: The total number of recurring revenue customers rose to approximately 45,350, indicating robust customer growth.
Q1 2025 Revenue Projection: The company expects revenue for Q1 2025 to be in the range of $178,500,000 to $180,000,000, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 19% to 20%.
2025 Revenue Guidance Growth: For the full year 2025, revenue guidance is set between $758,000,000 to $763,000,000, which translates to a growth rate of approximately 19% to 20% over 2024.
Negative
Q4 Revenue Growth Deceleration: Total revenue growth for Q4 2024 was 18%, which is a deceleration compared to previous quarters, indicating potential challenges in maintaining growth momentum.
Analytics Segment Growth Decline: The analytics segment experienced only 8% growth in 2024, down from 10% in the prior two years, suggesting weakening demand or increased competition in this area.
Projected Organic Revenue Growth: The implied organic revenue growth rate for 2025 is projected to be around 10-11%, indicating a slowdown compared to the overall growth targets set by the company.
Earnings Per Share Projection: The expected fully diluted earnings per share for Q1 2025 is projected to be between $0.39 to $0.41, which reflects a decline from previous earnings, signaling potential profitability concerns.
Stock-Based Compensation Impact: The anticipated stock-based compensation expense for 2025 is approximately $63 million, which could impact net income and investor sentiment regarding cost management.
SPSC FAQs
How does SPSC typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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SPSC Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: SPS Commerce Q4 2024 beats earnings expectations
SPSC.O
0.14%Positive
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, alongside optimistic guidance. Despite potential challenges in customer acquisition and market competition, the company is expanding its product portfolio and enhancing customer engagement through community enablement programs. The Q&A highlights strategic focus on customer growth and market opportunities, with management addressing risks such as tariff impacts and acquisition integration. The absence of a shareholder return plan is offset by positive financial metrics. Overall, the sentiment is positive, suggesting a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
