SMPL Valuation

Simply Good Foods Co

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24.050

-0.21(-0.866%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SMPL Relative Valuation

SMPL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SMPL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 12.54 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 21.85. The fair price of Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) is between 29.96 to 42.51 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 24.05 USD , Simply Good Foods Co is Undervalued By 19.73%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

29.96-42.51

Current Price：24.05

19.73%

Undervalued

12.54

Trailing

Forward

9.61

EV/EBITDA

Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.61. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 15.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.62, Undervalued between 10.62 and 13.02, Fairly Valued between 17.82 and 13.02, Overvalued between 17.82 and 20.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.22. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.61 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

10.43

EV/EBIT

Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) has a current EV/EBIT of 10.43. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 16.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.64, Undervalued between 11.64 and 14.31, Fairly Valued between 19.66 and 14.31, Overvalued between 19.66 and 22.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.33. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 10.43 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

1.65

Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) has a current PS of 1.65. The 5-year average PS is 2.75. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.95, Undervalued between 1.95 and 2.35, Fairly Valued between 3.15 and 2.35, Overvalued between 3.15 and 3.55, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.55. The current Forward PS of 1.65 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

11.73

P/OCF

Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) has a current P/OCF of 11.73. The 5-year average P/OCF is 20.51. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.82, Undervalued between 11.82 and 16.17, Fairly Valued between 24.85 and 16.17, Overvalued between 24.85 and 29.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.20. The current Forward P/OCF of 11.73 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.

13.17

P/FCF

Simply Good Foods Co. (SMPL) has a current P/FCF of 13.17. The 5-year average P/FCF is 20.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.16, Undervalued between 12.16 and 16.43, Fairly Valued between 24.97 and 16.43, Overvalued between 24.97 and 29.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.24. The current Forward P/FCF of 13.17 falls within the Undervalued range.

Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.18 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -39.88% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.37, the current P/B ratio is about -44.62% higher. Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.95%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.22% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

1.31

P/B

Median3y

2.18

Median5y

2.37

7.20

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.95

Median5y

4.22

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SMPL's competitors is 0.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Simply Good Foods Co Corp (SMPL) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.80%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Oatly Group AB (publ)

Above Food Ingredients Inc

Loss

236.51M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SMPL decreased by 28.55% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Revenue Growth from 334.76M to 380.96M.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -12.63%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SMPL in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.

13.80%

334.76M → 380.96M

Revenue Growth

-12.63%

12.35 → 10.79

Margin Expansion

-29.72%

23.93 → 16.82

P/E Change

-28.55%