Should I Buy SMG? SMG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

65.420

1 Day change

4.17%

52 Week Range

71.470

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Based on the data provided, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term investment strategy at this time. Despite some positive analyst ratings and technical indicators, the company's recent financial performance shows significant declines in revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin. Additionally, there are no strong proprietary trading signals or significant catalysts to justify immediate action. Holding off for now is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show a mixed picture. The MACD is slightly positive and contracting, RSI is neutral at 54.549, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot point at 62.686, with resistance at 64.363 and support at 61.009. Overall, the technicals suggest mild bullishness but no strong breakout signals.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Stifel upgraded the stock to Buy, citing gross margin expansion and fiscal earnings guidance ahead of estimates.
Jefferies raised its price target to $74, highlighting potential for share price outperformance into 2026 due to improved balance between volume and pricing growth, debt reduction, and buybacks.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

UBS lowered the price target to $61, maintaining a Neutral rating.
The company's Q4 2025 financials showed significant declines in revenue (-6.61% YoY), net income (-37.75% YoY), EPS (-37.94% YoY), and gross margin (-335.20% YoY).
Hedge funds and insiders show neutral sentiment with no significant trading trends.

Financial Performance

The company's Q4 2025 financial performance was weak, with revenue dropping to $387.3 million (-6.61% YoY), net income falling to -$151.9 million (-37.75% YoY), EPS declining to -2.65 (-37.94% YoY), and gross margin plummeting to 7.15% (-335.20% YoY). These metrics indicate significant challenges in profitability and operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed but leaning positive. Stifel upgraded the stock to Buy with a $70 price target, and Jefferies raised its target to $74, citing potential for margin expansion and share price growth. However, UBS downgraded its target to $61, maintaining a Neutral rating. The overall sentiment suggests cautious optimism.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SMG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SMG is 64.09 USD with a low forecast of 51.37 USD and a high forecast of 74 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

4 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 62.800

Low

51.37

Averages

64.09

High

Current: 62.800

Low

51.37

Averages

64.09

High

UBS

Peter Grom

Neutral

downgrade

$62 -> $61

AI Analysis

2025-11-06

Reason

UBS

Peter Grom

Price Target

$62 -> $61

AI Analysis

2025-11-06

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS analyst Peter Grom lowered the firm's price target on Scotts Miracle-Gro to $61 from $62 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Stifel

Hold

Buy

upgrade

$70

2025-11-06

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$70

2025-11-06

upgrade

Hold

Buy

Reason

Stifel upgraded Scotts Miracle-Gro to Buy from Hold with an unchanged price target of $70. The firm is surprised by the "muted" share reaction post the company's fiscal Q4 report given the pressure ahead of earnings. Scotts' Initial fiscal earnings guidance came in ahead of estimates and it should see gross margin expansion, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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SMG Should I Buy

SMG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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